Bautista De La Pena vs Mateus AlvesPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
๐จ๐ฑBautista De La Pena
#1486 ยท 17 yrs ยท R
31 meeting ยท sets 0โ2

๐ง๐ทMateus Alves
#385 ยท 25 yrs ยท R
TitleBautista De La Pena and Mateus Alves have met 1 time since 2026; Mateus Alves leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Pena has taken 0 sets to Alves's 2. Their most recent meeting: Mateus Alves won at Antofagasta Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | De La Pena | Alves | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Bautista De La Pena | Mateus Alves | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 42% | 5/12 | 88% | 35/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 17% | 5/30 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 12/42 | 25% | 15/61 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 1/3 | 66% | 27/41 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 23% | 5/22 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 4/6 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 69% | 9/13 | 90% | 36/40 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 38% | 5/13 | 88% | 35/40 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (De La Pena 0, Alves 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pena
๐ Pusher
Alves
๐ The Complete Package
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Oct 4, 2026
Antofagasta Challenger
C Clay ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Pena | Alves | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Bautista De La Pena | Mateus Alves | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 3/3 | 100% | 24/24 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 1/3 | 92% | 22/24 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 71% | 17/24 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 8% | 2/24 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 0% | 0/24 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 0% | 0/24 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Pena | Alves |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0โ5 | 19โ4 |
| Avg odds | 5.56 | 1.18 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | -6.8% |
| Units P/L | -5.00u | -1.55u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pena | Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 1 |
| Events | โ | 1 |
| Matches | โ | 2 |
| Distance | โ | 0 mi ยท 0 km |
| Route | โ | BRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Alves has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Pena's 33%).
| Opponent | Pena | Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Gonzalo Villanueva | L 26 26 | L 26 36 |
| Rafael Augusto Garcia Finetto | W 75 60 | W 61 60 |
| Enzo Fortes | W 64 60 | L 75 63 |
| Luis Felipe Miguel | L 64 36 26 | W 63 63 |
| Livas Eduardo De Carvalho Damazio | L 26 16 | W 63 61 |
| Lucio Ratti | L 46 26 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mateus Alves
Antofagasta Challenger ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Noah Schachter
M15 Trelew ยท 1st Round
Sep 1
Lautaro Correa Beguerie
M15 Mar Del Plata ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Enzo Fortes
M15 Mar Del Plata ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Nathan Cox
M15 Asuncion ยท 1st Round
Aug 18
thomas Menzel
M15 Asuncion ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 17
Fantino Alberca De Las Casas
M15 Asuncion ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 17
Jackson Pereira Xavier
M15 Asuncion ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 10
Jose Pereira
Antofagasta Challenger ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Bautista De La Pena
Antofagasta Challenger ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Gonzalo Villanueva
Curitiba Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Oct 1
Jose Pereira
Curitiba Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 29
Pedro Sakamoto
M15 Curitiba ยท Final
Sep 27
Wilson Leite
M15 Curitiba ยท Semifinals
Sep 26
Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
M15 Curitiba ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity
M15 Curitiba ยท 2nd Round
Sep 24
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 42โ61 matches
| Metric | Pena | Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 29% | 54% |
| Sets won | 30% | 66% |
| Games won | 41% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pena | Alves |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pena | Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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