Aslan Karatsev vs Mikhail KukushkinPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Aslan Karatsev
#1912 · 32 yrs · R
20w3 meetings · sets 3–4
🇰🇿Mikhail Kukushkin
#335 · 38 yrs · R
11wAslan Karatsev and Mikhail Kukushkin have met 3 times since 2021; Mikhail Kukushkin leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Miami Open - Miami in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Kukushkin leads 2–1. Kukushkin has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Karatsev has taken 3 sets to Kukushkin's 4. Their most recent meeting: Mikhail Kukushkin won at Porto Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Karatsev | Kukushkin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aslan Karatsev | Mikhail Kukushkin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 100% | 2/2 | 76% | 22/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | — | 32% | 7/22 | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 0% | 0/2 | 27% | 14/51 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 100% | 2/2 | 52% | 15/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 70% | 14/20 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 54% | 14/26 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 2/2 | 89% | 24/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 100% | 2/2 | 81% | 22/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Karatsev 1, Kukushkin 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Karatsev
💥 Big Hitter
Kukushkin
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 554 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 29, 2025
Porto Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 14, 2024
Cary Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Mar 27, 2021
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Karatsev | Kukushkin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 0–1 |
| Avg odds | - | 3.72 |
| ROI % | - | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | - | -1.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Christian Djonov
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · Round of 32
Apr 15
Christian Djonov
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 1st Round
Apr 15
Federico Cina
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 7
Filip Pieczonka
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 5
Mikhail Kukushkin
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Elias Ymer
Francavilla Challenger · 2nd Round
May 8
Stefano Travaglia
Francavilla Challenger · 1st Round
May 6
Petr Brunclik
Ostrava Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 30
Mattia Bellucci
Terra Wortmann Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Mark Lajal
Wuxi Challenger · 2nd Round
May 6
Tianhui Zhang
Wuxi Challenger · 1st Round
May 4
Coleman Wong
Jiujiang Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 29
Leandro Riedi
Gwangju Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 23
Pavel Kotov
Gwangju Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 21
Blake Ellis
Wuning 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 16
Jie Cui
Wuning 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 2–51 matches
| Metric | Karatsev | Kukushkin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 100% | 57% |
| Sets won | 100% | 56% |
| Games won | 72% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Karatsev | Kukushkin |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 2 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Karatsev | Kukushkin |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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