Aslan Karatsev vs Mikhail KukushkinPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Aslan Karatsev
#1922 · 33 yrs · R
26w3 meetings · sets 3–4
🇰🇿Mikhail Kukushkin
#358 · 38 yrs · R
17wAslan Karatsev and Mikhail Kukushkin have met 3 times since 2021; Mikhail Kukushkin leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Miami Open - Miami in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Kukushkin leads 2–1. Kukushkin has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Karatsev has taken 3 sets to Kukushkin's 4. Their most recent meeting: Mikhail Kukushkin won at Porto Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Karatsev | Kukushkin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aslan Karatsev | Mikhail Kukushkin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 100% | 4/4 | 80% | 20/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | — | 25% | 5/20 | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 0% | 0/4 | 22% | 10/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 100% | 3/3 | 54% | 14/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 63% | 10/16 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 52% | 11/21 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 4/4 | 91% | 21/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 100% | 4/4 | 87% | 20/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Karatsev 1, Kukushkin 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Karatsev
💥 Big Hitter
Kukushkin
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 1,017 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 29, 2025
Porto Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 14, 2024
Cary Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Mar 27, 2021
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Karan Singh
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 2nd Round
Apr 16
Christian Djonov
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · Round of 32
Apr 15
Christian Djonov
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 1st Round
Apr 15
Andriy Poritskyy
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 3rd Round Qualifying
Apr 14
Aleksandre Shvangiradze
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 13
Federico Cina
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 7
Filip Pieczonka
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 5
Mikhail Kukushkin
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Damir Dzumhur
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 20
Mattia Bellucci
Terra Wortmann Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Mark Lajal
Wuxi Challenger · 2nd Round
May 6
Tianhui Zhang
Wuxi Challenger · 1st Round
May 4
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Jiujiang Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 29
Coleman Wong
Jiujiang Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 29
Leandro Riedi
Gwangju Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 23
Pavel Kotov
Gwangju Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 21
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 4–45 matches
| Metric | Karatsev | Kukushkin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 100% | 56% |
| Sets won | 100% | 55% |
| Games won | 69% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Karatsev | Kukushkin |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Karatsev | Kukushkin |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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