Aslan Karatsev vs Gregoire BarrerePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇷🇺Aslan Karatsev
#1912 · 32 yrs · R
20w4 meetings · sets 4–5

🇫🇷Gregoire Barrere
#1328 · 32 yrs · R
42wAslan Karatsev and Gregoire Barrere have met 4 times since 2015; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Quimper in 2015 on hard. On hard courts they are level 2–2. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Karatsev leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Karatsev has taken 4 sets to Barrere's 5. Their most recent meeting: Aslan Karatsev won at Nonthaburi 1 Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Karatsev | Barrere | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aslan Karatsev | Gregoire Barrere | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 100% | 2/2 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Wins a set when losing | — | 25% | 1/4 | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 0% | 0/2 | 20% | 1/5 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 100% | 2/2 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 0% | 0/2 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 0% | 0/1 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 2/2 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 100% | 2/2 | 100% | 1/1 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Karatsev 1, Barrere 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Karatsev
💥 Big Hitter
Barrere
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,211 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Aslan Karatsev.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jan 4, 2025
Nonthaburi 1 Challenger
H Hard · Final
Mar 17, 2019
Lille
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Mar 8, 2016
Kazan
H Hard · Round of 32
Mar 4, 2015
Quimper
H Hard · Round of 32
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Christian Djonov
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · Round of 32
Apr 15
Christian Djonov
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 1st Round
Apr 15
Federico Cina
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 7
Filip Pieczonka
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 5
Mikhail Kukushkin
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Elias Ymer
Francavilla Challenger · 2nd Round
May 8
Stefano Travaglia
Francavilla Challenger · 1st Round
May 6
Petr Brunclik
Ostrava Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 30
Geoffrey Blancaneaux
Lyon (Décines-Charpieu) · 1st Round Qualifying
Nov 9
Justin Engel
Orleans Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Tom Paris
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 16
Harold Mayot
Rennes Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 11
Daniel Jade
Rennes Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 9
Arthur Gea
Troyes Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 30
Dalibor Svrcina
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 19
Michael Geerts
Bordeaux · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 2–5 matches
| Metric | Karatsev | Barrere |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 100% | 20% |
| Sets won | 100% | 27% |
| Games won | 72% | 44% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Karatsev | Barrere |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Karatsev | Barrere |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 2 |
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