Ashlyn Krueger vs Madison KeysPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Ashlyn Krueger
#68 · 22 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 0–2
🇺🇸Madison Keys
#20 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
6wAshlyn Krueger and Madison Keys have met 1 time since 2026; Madison Keys leads 1–0. Across all meetings Krueger has taken 0 sets to Keys's 2. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Krueger | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ashlyn Krueger | Madison Keys | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 20/31 | 74% | 25/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 6/21 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 17/52 | 36% | 18/50 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 17/37 | 57% | 23/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 7/15 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 7/13 | 46% | 6/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 25/29 | 81% | 26/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 69% | 20/29 | 78% | 25/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Krueger 0, Keys 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Krueger
💥 Big Hitter
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Ashlyn Krueger and Madison Keys are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,594 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jan 22, 2026
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Krueger | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ashlyn Krueger | Madison Keys | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 6/9 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 5 or more | 44% | 4/9 | 50% | 5/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 20% | 2/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Krueger | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | 6–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 1.40 |
| ROI % | -36.1% | -24.8% |
| Units P/L | -3.25u | -2.48u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Krueger | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 654 mi · 1,053 km | — |
| Route | ROU → CZE | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Krueger's 50%).
| Opponent | Krueger | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Amanda Anisimova | L 16 36 | W 36 62 63 |
| Sara Bejlek | L 36 06 | L 63 46 67 |
| Daria Snigur | W 63 62 | W 46 63 63 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 46 46 | L 36 16 |
| Antonia Ruzic | L 63 26 26 | W 61 62 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 36 75 62 | L 63 46 46 |
| Katie Swan | W | W 61 64 |
| Donna Vekic | W 36 76 64 | W 62 63 |
| Nikola Bartunkova | L 46 67 | L 36 61 46 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | W 75 63 | W 64 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Yulia Putintseva
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Taylah Preston
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Ann Li
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Sofia Kenin
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Amanda Anisimova
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Julia Grabher
Philly Open - Philadelphia · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Anna Frey
Philly Open - Philadelphia · 1st Round
Aug 23
Lois Boisson
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Anna Bondar
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Alina Korneeva
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–52 matches
| Metric | Krueger | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 68% |
| Sets won | 56% | 65% |
| Games won | 52% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Krueger | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Krueger | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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