Ashlyn Krueger vs Madison KeysPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Ashlyn Krueger
#62 · 22 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 0–2
🇺🇸Madison Keys
#23 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
Ashlyn Krueger and Madison Keys have met 1 time since 2026; Madison Keys leads 1–0. Across all meetings Krueger has taken 0 sets to Keys's 2. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Krueger | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ashlyn Krueger | Madison Keys | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 16/26 | 75% | 24/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 37% | 7/19 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 17/45 | 34% | 16/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 13/31 | 59% | 22/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 8/14 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 7/13 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 21/25 | 83% | 25/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 16/25 | 80% | 24/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Krueger 0, Keys 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Krueger
🤖 Servebot
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jan 22, 2026
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Krueger | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ashlyn Krueger | Madison Keys | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 100% | 18/18 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 12/16 | 72% | 13/18 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 8/16 | 39% | 7/18 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 17% | 3/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Krueger | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–4 | 13–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.50 | 1.43 |
| ROI % | +12.8% | -5.3% |
| Units P/L | +2.43u | -0.95u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Krueger | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 6 |
| Distance | 501 mi · 807 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | POL → ESP | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (56% vs Krueger's 44%).
| Opponent | Krueger | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Sara Bejlek | L 36 06 | L 63 46 67 |
| Daria Snigur | W 63 62 | W 46 63 63 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 46 46 | L 36 16 |
| Antonia Ruzic | L 63 26 26 | W 61 62 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 36 75 62 | L 63 46 46 |
| Donna Vekic | W 36 76 64 | W 62 63 |
| Nikola Bartunkova | L 46 67 | L 36 61 46 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | W 75 63 | W 64 61 |
| Peyton Stearns | L 67 57 | W 46 64 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Julia Grabher
Philly Open - Philadelphia · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Anna Frey
Philly Open - Philadelphia · 1st Round
Aug 23
Lois Boisson
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Katie Boulter
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Daria Snigur
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Mariam Bolkvadze
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Donna Vekic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Antonia Ruzic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Liudmila Samsonova
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–47 matches
| Metric | Krueger | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 68% |
| Sets won | 55% | 65% |
| Games won | 53% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Krueger | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Krueger | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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