Ashlyn Krueger vs Daria KasatkinaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Ashlyn Krueger
#68 · 22 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 3–5
🇦🇺Daria Kasatkina
#82 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Ashlyn Krueger and Daria Kasatkina have met 3 times since 2024; Daria Kasatkina leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi in 2024 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Krueger has taken 3 sets to Kasatkina's 5. Their most recent meeting: Ashlyn Krueger won at Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Krueger | Kasatkina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ashlyn Krueger | Daria Kasatkina | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 20/31 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 6/21 | 55% | 11/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 17/52 | 51% | 21/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 17/37 | 31% | 9/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 7/15 | 67% | 8/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 7/13 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 25/29 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 69% | 20/29 | 61% | 11/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Krueger 0, Kasatkina 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Krueger
💥 Big Hitter
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,733 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Ashlyn Krueger.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Feb 5, 2025
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi
H Hard · 2nd Round
Apr 3, 2024
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 7, 2024
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Krueger | Kasatkina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ashlyn Krueger | Daria Kasatkina | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 78% | 7/9 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 6/9 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 5 or more | 44% | 4/9 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Krueger | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | 5–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 2.20 |
| ROI % | -36.1% | -31.7% |
| Units P/L | -3.25u | -3.49u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Krueger | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Distance | 654 mi · 1,053 km | 3,433 mi · 5,525 km |
| Route | ROU → CZE | SGP → ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Krueger has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Kasatkina's 50%).
| Opponent | Krueger | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Ann Li | L 46 26 | L 76 26 46 |
| Naomi Osaka | L | L 16 36 |
| Mariam Bolkvadze | W 61 60 | W 67 64 60 |
| Daria Snigur | W 63 62 | L 36 63 67 |
| Janice Tjen | W 61 63 | W 67 61 64 |
| Nikola Bartunkova | L 46 67 | L 67 60 36 |
| Peyton Stearns | L 67 57 | W 61 63 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 36 75 62 | W 75 63 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | W 75 63 | W 64 62 |
| Caty Mcnally | W 64 16 63 | L 26 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Yulia Putintseva
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Taylah Preston
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Ann Li
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Sofia Kenin
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Amanda Anisimova
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Julia Grabher
Philly Open - Philadelphia · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Anna Frey
Philly Open - Philadelphia · 1st Round
Aug 23
Lois Boisson
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Sara Sorribes Tormo
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Viktorija Golubic
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 21
Paula Badosa
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–52 matches
| Metric | Krueger | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 51% |
| Sets won | 56% | 51% |
| Games won | 52% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Krueger | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Krueger | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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