Ashlyn Krueger vs Daria KasatkinaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Ashlyn Krueger
#62 · 22 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 3–5
🇦🇺Daria Kasatkina
#59 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Ashlyn Krueger and Daria Kasatkina have met 3 times since 2024; Daria Kasatkina leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi in 2024 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Krueger has taken 3 sets to Kasatkina's 5. Their most recent meeting: Ashlyn Krueger won at Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Krueger | Kasatkina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ashlyn Krueger | Daria Kasatkina | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 16/26 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Wins a set when losing | 37% | 7/19 | 55% | 11/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 17/45 | 49% | 17/35 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 13/31 | 28% | 7/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 8/14 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 7/13 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 21/25 | 73% | 11/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 16/25 | 60% | 9/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Krueger 0, Kasatkina 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Krueger
🤖 Servebot
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,880 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Ashlyn Krueger.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Feb 5, 2025
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi
H Hard · 2nd Round
Apr 3, 2024
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 7, 2024
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Krueger | Kasatkina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ashlyn Krueger | Daria Kasatkina | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 12/16 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 8/16 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Krueger | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–4 | 3–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.50 | 2.44 |
| ROI % | +12.8% | -51.7% |
| Units P/L | +2.43u | -5.17u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Krueger | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 2 |
| Distance | 501 mi · 807 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | POL → ESP | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Krueger has a higher win rate against shared opponents (71% vs Kasatkina's 57%).
| Opponent | Krueger | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Daria Snigur | W 63 62 | L 36 63 67 |
| Janice Tjen | W 61 63 | W 67 61 64 |
| Nikola Bartunkova | L 46 67 | L 67 60 36 |
| Peyton Stearns | L 67 57 | W 61 63 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 36 75 62 | W 75 63 |
| Caty Mcnally | W 64 16 63 | L 26 36 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 26 63 64 | W 76 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Julia Grabher
Philly Open - Philadelphia · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Anna Frey
Philly Open - Philadelphia · 1st Round
Aug 23
Lois Boisson
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Katie Boulter
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Daria Snigur
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Mariam Bolkvadze
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Donna Vekic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Anna Kalinskaya
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Mingge Xu
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Mccartney Kessler
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–45 matches
| Metric | Krueger | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 43% |
| Sets won | 55% | 47% |
| Games won | 53% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Krueger | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Krueger | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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