Arthur Rinderknech vs Roberto Carballes BaenaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇫🇷Arthur Rinderknech
#33 · 31 yrs · R
4w3 meetings · sets 3–5
🇪🇸Roberto Carballes Baena
#258 · 33 yrs · R
5wArthur Rinderknech and Roberto Carballes Baena have met 3 times since 2021; Roberto Carballes Baena leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Belgrade Challenger in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Baena leads 2–0. Across all meetings Rinderknech has taken 3 sets to Baena's 5. Their most recent meeting: Arthur Rinderknech won at U.S. Open - New York (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rinderknech | Carballes Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Arthur Rinderknech | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 8/14 | 58% | 14/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 12/22 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 50% | 18/36 | 43% | 20/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 31% | 5/16 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 76% | 13/17 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 37% | 11/30 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 60% | 9/15 | 83% | 20/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 53% | 8/15 | 58% | 14/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rinderknech 0, Carballes Baena 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rinderknech
🤖 Servebot
Baena
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Arthur Rinderknech.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 24, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
May 24, 2021
Belgrade 2 - Belgrade
C Clay · 1st Round
Apr 14, 2021
Belgrade Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rinderknech | Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Arthur Rinderknech | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 71% | 5/7 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 10 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rinderknech | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–7 | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.14 | 2.16 |
| ROI % | -51.2% | -54.3% |
| Units P/L | -5.12u | -3.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rinderknech has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Baena's 0%).
| Opponent | Rinderknech | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Baez | L 67 62 46 | L 46 26 |
| Alex Molcan | W 75 76 | L 60 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CAN-FRA · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Liam Draxl
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CAN-FRA · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Jaume Munar
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Sho Shimabukuro
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Brandon Nakashima
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 8
Frances Tiafoe
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Alexander Ritschard
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Pedro Vives Marcos
Porto Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
William Rejchtman Vinciguerra
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Jacob Fearnley
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–46 matches
| Metric | Rinderknech | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 42% | 52% |
| Sets won | 47% | 52% |
| Games won | 50% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rinderknech | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rinderknech | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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