Arthur Rinderknech vs Roberto Carballes BaenaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇫🇷Arthur Rinderknech
#29 · 31 yrs · R
3 meetings · sets 3–5
🇪🇸Roberto Carballes Baena
#209 · 33 yrs · R
5wArthur Rinderknech and Roberto Carballes Baena have met 3 times since 2021; Roberto Carballes Baena leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Belgrade Challenger in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Baena leads 2–0. Across all meetings Rinderknech has taken 3 sets to Baena's 5. Their most recent meeting: Arthur Rinderknech won at U.S. Open - New York (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rinderknech | Carballes Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Arthur Rinderknech | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 13/22 | 58% | 15/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 57% | 13/23 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 22/45 | 43% | 20/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 32% | 6/19 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 83% | 19/23 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 39% | 12/31 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 71% | 15/21 | 85% | 22/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 13/21 | 58% | 15/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rinderknech 0, Carballes Baena 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rinderknech
🤖 Servebot
Baena
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Arthur Rinderknech.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 24, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
May 24, 2021
Belgrade 2 - Belgrade
C Clay · 1st Round
Apr 14, 2021
Belgrade Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rinderknech | Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Arthur Rinderknech | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 10 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 46% | 5/11 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rinderknech | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–7 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.31 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | -37.5% | -20.3% |
| Units P/L | -4.13u | -2.84u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rinderknech | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rinderknech has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Baena's 0%).
| Opponent | Rinderknech | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Baez | L 67 62 46 | L 46 26 |
| Alex Molcan | W 75 76 | L 60 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Brandon Nakashima
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 8
Miomir Kecmanovic
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Sebastian Baez
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Stefanos Tsitsipas
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Clement Tabur
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Bundesliga - men
Jul 10
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Mackenzie McDonald
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Mark Ceban
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Sebastian Ofner
Parma Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jun 18
Stefano Travaglia
Parma Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Miguel Damas
Parma Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–52 matches
| Metric | Rinderknech | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 55% |
| Sets won | 50% | 54% |
| Games won | 50% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rinderknech | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rinderknech | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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