Aoi Ito vs Madison KeysPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Aoi Ito and Madison Keys have met 1 time since 2025; Madison Keys leads 1–0. Across all meetings Ito has taken 0 sets to Keys's 2. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ito | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aoi Ito | Madison Keys | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 4/8 | 75% | 24/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 5/15 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 9/23 | 34% | 16/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 27% | 3/11 | 59% | 22/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 40% | 4/10 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 2/6 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 71% | 5/7 | 83% | 25/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 4/7 | 80% | 24/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ito 0, Keys 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ito
🪃 Counterpuncher
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 7,380 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 11, 2025
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ito | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aoi Ito | Madison Keys | ||
| 1 or more | 67% | 2/3 | 100% | 18/18 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 1/3 | 72% | 13/18 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 39% | 7/18 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 17% | 3/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ito | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–6 | 13–5 |
| Avg odds | 3.18 | 1.43 |
| ROI % | -83.0% | -5.3% |
| Units P/L | -5.81u | -0.95u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ito | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 6 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Ito's 0%).
| Opponent | Ito | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Antonia Ruzic | L 36 46 | W 61 62 |
| Diane Parry | L 26 16 | W 64 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Katherine Sebov
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Alina Korneeva
Athens Open - Athens · 1st Round
Jul 14
Yasmine Mansouri
Athens WTA
Jul 12
Dayana Yastremska
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Diane Parry
Bad Homburg WTA
Jun 20
Petra Marcinko
Berlin
Jun 15
Antonia Ruzic
Queen's Club
Jun 7
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Birmingham
May 31
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Antonia Ruzic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Liudmila Samsonova
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 23–47 matches
| Metric | Ito | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 35% | 68% |
| Sets won | 38% | 65% |
| Games won | 45% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ito | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ito | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.