Aoi Ito vs Madison KeysPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Aoi Ito and Madison Keys have met 1 time since 2025; Madison Keys leads 1–0. Across all meetings Ito has taken 0 sets to Keys's 2. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ito | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aoi Ito | Madison Keys | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 10/18 | 74% | 25/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 6/25 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 14/43 | 36% | 18/50 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 5/15 | 57% | 23/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 11/25 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 30% | 3/10 | 46% | 6/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 15/17 | 81% | 26/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 59% | 10/17 | 78% | 25/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ito 0, Keys 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ito
🪃 Counterpuncher
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,733 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Madison Keys.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 11, 2025
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ito | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aoi Ito | Madison Keys | ||
| 1 or more | 50% | 6/12 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 50% | 5/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 20% | 2/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ito | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–9 | 6–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.30 | 1.40 |
| ROI % | +13.2% | -24.8% |
| Units P/L | +2.38u | -2.48u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ito | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 4 | — |
| Events | 4 | — |
| Matches | 7 | — |
| Distance | 10,801 mi · 17,382 km | — |
| Route | GEO → SGP → ROU → CZE | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Ito's 0%).
| Opponent | Ito | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Alina Korneeva | L 26 16 | W 75 64 |
| Antonia Ruzic | L 36 46 | W 61 62 |
| Petra Marcinko | L 26 64 26 | W |
| Diane Parry | L 26 16 | L |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Janice Tjen
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round
Oct 12
Magdalena Frech
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Alycia Parks
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Kimberly Birrell
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Nao Hibino
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Sofya Lansere
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 19
Gabriela Andrea Knutson
Ladies Open - Caldas da Rainha · 1st Round
Sep 15
Anastasia Gasanova
W50 Evora · Semifinals
Sep 12
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Anna Bondar
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Alina Korneeva
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–50 matches
| Metric | Ito | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 42% | 68% |
| Sets won | 42% | 65% |
| Games won | 47% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ito | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ito | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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