Anna Bondar vs Madison KeysPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇭🇺Anna Bondar
#73 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 0–2
🇺🇸Madison Keys
#24 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
Anna Bondar and Madison Keys have met 1 time since 2026; Madison Keys leads 1–0. Across all meetings Bondar has taken 0 sets to Keys's 2. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston (2026).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- U.S. Open - New York
- Level
- Grand Slam
- Round
- 2nd Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- September 2 · 11:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
Priced around 1.12 or shorter, Madison Keys has won 29 of 35 matches, 83% against a fair-price expectation of 89%.
Priced around 6.17 or longer, Anna Bondar has won 3 of 11 matches, 27% against a fair-price expectation of 12%.
Book prices only, with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Sample sizes below ten are not shown.
Madison Keys meets Anna Bondar in the 2nd Round of the U.S. Open on September 3, 2026. Keys is seeded 24th and won her first-round match after playing three times in the last two weeks. Bondar, ranked 73rd, also advanced and has one day of rest since her opening contest.
Keys leads the head-to-head series 1-0. In her last five matches, Madison Keys has won four; over ten matches, she has six wins. Anna Bondar has won two of five and six of ten. On hard courts over a recent sample, Keys recorded a 12-8 record while Bondar went 8-12. Both players have faced Anastasia Zakharova, Jessica Bouzas Maneiro, and Karolina Muchova; Keys defeated all three, while Bondar lost to each.
Both players rely on heavy hitting from the baseline and power off the ground. Keys has converted hard court play into a 60% win rate and has momentum from multiple matches in quick succession. For Bondar, the task is to sustain consistency on a surface where she has faltered relative to Keys and navigate the pace of an opponent in form. The match will be decided by who maintains accuracy under pressure and limits unforced errors.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bondar | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anna Bondar | Madison Keys | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 25/33 | 76% | 25/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 11/25 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 19/58 | 33% | 16/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 19/32 | 61% | 23/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 64% | 14/22 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 70% | 16/23 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 32/40 | 84% | 26/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 25/40 | 81% | 25/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bondar 0, Keys 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bondar
💥 Big Hitter
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Anna Bondar and Madison Keys are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,210 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Apr 2, 2026
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston
C Clay · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bondar | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Anna Bondar | Madison Keys | ||
| 1 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 100% | 19/19 |
| 3 or more | 46% | 6/13 | 74% | 14/19 |
| 5 or more | 23% | 3/13 | 37% | 7/19 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 16% | 3/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bondar | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–8 | 14–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.94 | 1.43 |
| ROI % | -19.7% | -3.2% |
| Units P/L | -3.15u | -0.60u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bondar | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 4 | 3 |
| Events | 4 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 7 |
| Distance | 3,545 mi · 5,705 km | 979 mi · 1,576 km |
| Route | CAN → POL → AUT → NED | CAN → POL → NED |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (83% vs Bondar's 33%).
| Opponent | Bondar | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | L 36 67 | W 60 61 |
| Tatjana Maria | W 76 75 | W 75 64 |
| Karolina Muchova | L 57 26 | W 64 75 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | L 75 36 16 | W 64 61 |
| Qinwen Zheng | L 63 36 46 | L 64 26 46 |
| Oleksandra Oliynykova | W 60 46 60 | W 76 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lucie Havlickova
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Cristina Bucsa
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 26
En Shuo Liang
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Elsa Jacquemot
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Elise Mertens
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Anhelina Kalinina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Tamara Korpatsch
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · Final
Jul 26
Alina Korneeva
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Antonia Ruzic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Liudmila Samsonova
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–58 matches
| Metric | Bondar | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 69% |
| Sets won | 57% | 66% |
| Games won | 53% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bondar | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bondar | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |