Anhelina Kalinina vs Madison KeysPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇦Anhelina Kalinina
#48 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
44 meetings · sets 6–4
🇺🇸Madison Keys
#20 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
5wAnhelina Kalinina and Madison Keys have met 4 times since 2022; Anhelina Kalinina leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Miami Open - Miami in 2022 on hard. On clay courts Kalinina leads 2–0. Across all meetings Kalinina has taken 6 sets to Keys's 4. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at Rothesay International - Eastbourne (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kalinina | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anhelina Kalinina | Madison Keys | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 31/44 | 74% | 25/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 6/21 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 19/65 | 36% | 18/50 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 24/49 | 57% | 23/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 6/11 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 89% | 8/9 | 46% | 6/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 40/45 | 81% | 26/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 69% | 31/45 | 78% | 25/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kalinina 1, Keys 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kalinina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,733 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Madison Keys.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jun 26, 2024
Rothesay International - Eastbourne
G Grass · 2nd Round
May 15, 2023
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 4th Round
May 9, 2022
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 1st Round
Mar 25, 2022
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kalinina | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Anhelina Kalinina | Madison Keys | ||
| 1 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 11% | 1/9 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 5 or more | 11% | 1/9 | 50% | 5/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 20% | 2/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kalinina | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–6 | 6–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.77 | 1.40 |
| ROI % | -59.9% | -24.8% |
| Units P/L | -4.79u | -2.48u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kalinina | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 654 mi · 1,053 km | — |
| Route | ROU → CZE | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (78% vs Kalinina's 33%).
| Opponent | Kalinina | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Sonay Kartal | L 57 36 | L 62 26 36 |
| Anna Bondar | L 46 57 | W 57 64 76 |
| Daria Snigur | W 76 75 | W 46 63 63 |
| Petra Marcinko | L | W |
| Mccartney Kessler | L 46 36 | W 63 61 |
| Xi Yao Wang | L 36 36 | W 76 61 |
| Diane Parry | L 46 57 | L |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 63 76 | W 16 62 63 |
| Oleksandra Oliynykova | W 63 36 62 | W 76 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sonay Kartal
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round
Oct 12
Janice Tjen
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Himeno Sakatsume
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Emma Navarro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Darja Vidmanova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Anna Bondar
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Tamara Korpatsch
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Maria Lourdes Carle
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Anna Bondar
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Alina Korneeva
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–65 matches
| Metric | Kalinina | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 68% |
| Sets won | 63% | 65% |
| Games won | 55% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kalinina | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 3 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kalinina | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.