Anhelina Kalinina vs Daria KasatkinaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπ¦Anhelina Kalinina
#48 Β· 29 yrs Β· Right-Handed
44 meetings Β· sets 3β6

π¦πΊDaria Kasatkina
#82 Β· 29 yrs Β· Right-Handed
Anhelina Kalinina and Daria Kasatkina have met 4 times since 2021; Daria Kasatkina leads 3β1. Their first meeting came at Kremlin Cup - Moscow in 2021 on hard. On grass courts Kasatkina leads 2β0. Kasatkina has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Kalinina has taken 3 sets to Kasatkina's 6. Their most recent meeting: Daria Kasatkina won at Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kalinina | Kasatkina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anhelina Kalinina | Daria Kasatkina | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 31/44 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 6/21 | 55% | 11/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 19/65 | 51% | 21/41 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 24/49 | 31% | 9/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 6/11 | 67% | 8/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 89% | 8/9 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 40/45 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 69% | 31/45 | 61% | 11/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kalinina 1, Kasatkina 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kalinina
πͺ Counterpuncher
Kasatkina
πͺ Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Anhelina Kalinina and Daria Kasatkina are πͺ Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 15,398 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Apr 4, 2024
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston
C Clay Β· 3rd Round
Jun 26, 2023
Rothesay International - Eastbourne
G Grass Β· 1st Round
Jun 13, 2022
bett1open - Berlin
G Grass Β· 1st Round
Oct 18, 2021
Kremlin Cup - Moscow
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kalinina | Kasatkina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Anhelina Kalinina | Daria Kasatkina | ||
| 1 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 78% | 7/9 |
| 3 or more | 11% | 1/9 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 5 or more | 11% | 1/9 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Kalinina | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2β6 | 5β6 |
| Avg odds | 1.77 | 2.20 |
| ROI % | -59.9% | -31.7% |
| Units P/L | -4.79u | -3.49u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kalinina | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 4 |
| Distance | 654 mi Β· 1,053 km | 3,433 mi Β· 5,525 km |
| Route | ROU β CZE | SGP β ROU β CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Kasatkina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Kalinina's 30%).
| Opponent | Kalinina | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Paula Badosa | L 36 16 | L 64 67 46 |
| Janice Tjen | L 62 57 46 | W 67 61 64 |
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | L 36 26 | L 57 06 |
| Tamara Korpatsch | L 36 61 16 | W 26 63 75 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 16 36 | L 16 36 |
| Mccartney Kessler | L 46 36 | L 36 67 |
| Daria Snigur | W 76 75 | L 36 63 67 |
| Simona Waltert | W 63 64 | L 67 63 46 |
| Alina Charaeva | W 75 63 | W 46 60 64 |
| Moyuka Uchijima | L 57 57 | W 46 63 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sonay Kartal
Wuhan Open - Wuhan Β· 1st Round
Oct 12
Janice Tjen
China Open - Beijing Β· 1st Round
Sep 30
Himeno Sakatsume
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Aug 31
Emma Navarro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Darja Vidmanova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 13
Anna Bondar
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 1st Round
Aug 3
Tamara Korpatsch
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Maria Lourdes Carle
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg Β· 2nd Round
Jul 22
Sara Sorribes Tormo
Wuhan Open - Wuhan Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Viktorija Golubic
Wuhan Open - Wuhan Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing Β· 1st Round
Oct 1
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore Β· 1st Round
Sep 21
Paula Badosa
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Sep 2
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 1st Round
Aug 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 41β65 matches
| Metric | Kalinina | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 51% |
| Sets won | 63% | 51% |
| Games won | 55% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kalinina | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kalinina | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 2 |
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