Angelique Kerber vs Madison KeysPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇩🇪Angelique Kerber
Unranked · 38 yrs · Left-Handed
109w6 meetings · sets 11–3
🇺🇸Madison Keys
#23 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
Angelique Kerber and Madison Keys have met 6 times since 2015; Angelique Kerber leads 5–1. Their first meeting came at Charleston in 2015 on clay. On hard courts Kerber leads 4–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Kerber leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Kerber has taken 11 sets to Keys's 3. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at Cincinnati (2018).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kerber | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Angelique Kerber | Madison Keys | ||
| Wins in straight sets | — | 75% | 24/32 | |
| Wins a set when losing | — | 53% | 8/15 | |
| Goes to a deciding set | — | 34% | 16/47 | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 59% | 22/37 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 38% | 3/8 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 45% | 5/11 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | — | 83% | 25/30 | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | — | 80% | 24/30 | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 4 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kerber 4, Keys 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kerber
🎯 Baseliner
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 54% vs 🎯 Baseliner across 330 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Madison Keys.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Aug 16, 2018
Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 16
Jan 19, 2018
Australian Open
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Oct 26, 2016
Singapore
H Hard · Round Robin
Aug 13, 2016
Olympics
H Hard · Semifinals
Mar 25, 2016
Miami
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Apr 12, 2015
Charleston
C Clay · Final
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kerber | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 13–6 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.44 |
| ROI % | - | -10.3% |
| Units P/L | - | -1.95u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kerber | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 6 |
| Distance | — | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | — | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
Olympics - Paris · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Leylah Fernandez
Olympics - Paris · 3rd Round
Jul 30
Jaqueline Cristian
Olympics - Paris · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Naomi Osaka
Olympics - Paris · 1st Round
Jul 27
Yulia Putintseva
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jul 2
Diana Shnaider
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 1st Round
Jun 24
Linda Noskova
Berlin Ladies Open - Berlin · 1st Round
Jun 18
Arantxa Rus
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 28
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Antonia Ruzic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Liudmila Samsonova
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–47 matches
| Metric | Kerber | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | - | 68% |
| Sets won | - | 65% |
| Games won | - | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kerber | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA Finals | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kerber | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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