Andrea Pellegrino vs Thiago MonteiroPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrea Pellegrino and Thiago Monteiro have met 7 times since 2018; Thiago Monteiro leads 6–1. Their first meeting came at Biella in 2018 on clay. On clay courts Monteiro leads 6–1. Monteiro has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Monteiro leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Pellegrino has taken 4 sets to Monteiro's 12. Their most recent meeting: Thiago Monteiro won at San Marino Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pellegrino | Monteiro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrea Pellegrino | Thiago Monteiro | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 18/33 | 64% | 16/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 10/23 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 25/56 | 40% | 19/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 14/32 | 40% | 12/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 13/20 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 73% | 11/15 | 64% | 14/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 80% | 20/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 18/27 | 64% | 16/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pellegrino 1, Monteiro 4).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pellegrino
🏹 Frontrunner
Monteiro
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 57% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 247 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Thiago Monteiro.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Jul 30, 2026
San Marino Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jun 20, 2023
Montechiarugolo Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Sep 25, 2022
Genova Challenger
C Clay · Final
Sep 29, 2021
Lisbon Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Sep 25, 2020
Forli Challenger
C Clay · Semifinals
Sep 4, 2019
Genova
C Clay · Round of 32
Sep 9, 2018
Biella
C Clay · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Pellegrino | Monteiro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrea Pellegrino | Thiago Monteiro | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 6/12 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 5 or more | 17% | 2/12 | 60% | 3/5 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 2/12 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pellegrino | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–6 | 3–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.21 | 1.84 |
| ROI % | +11.5% | -20.0% |
| Units P/L | +1.61u | -1.40u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pellegrino | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 562 mi · 905 km |
| Route | CAN | SMR → GER |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Monteiro has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Pellegrino's 33%).
| Opponent | Pellegrino | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Vilius Gaubas | L 46 57 | L 67 67 |
| Luciano Darderi | L 36 63 810 | L 57 26 |
| Daniel Merida | L 36 75 36 | W 63 61 |
| Marco Cecchinato | W 76 62 | W 76 76 |
| Pol Martin Tiffon | W 64 64 | W 62 36 76 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 46 64 57 | L 46 76 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Zizou Bergs
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Nishesh Basavareddy
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Thiago Monteiro
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Carlo Alberto Caniato
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Andrey Rublev
Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Luciano Darderi
Bundesliga - men
Jul 10
Raul Brancaccio
Trieste Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 8
Tom Gentzsch
Hagen Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Vilius Gaubas
San Marino Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Andrea Pellegrino
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
David Jorda Sanchis
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Philip Henning
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Dylan Dietrich
Gstaad
Jul 12
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Gstaad
Jul 11
Pol Martin Tiffon
Istanbul Challenger · 2nd Round
May 21
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–58 matches
| Metric | Pellegrino | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 53% |
| Sets won | 55% | 53% |
| Games won | 51% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pellegrino | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 6 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pellegrino | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 6 |
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