Andrea Pellegrino vs Thiago MonteiroPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrea Pellegrino and Thiago Monteiro have met 7 times since 2018; Thiago Monteiro leads 6–1. Their first meeting came at Biella in 2018 on clay. On clay courts Monteiro leads 6–1. Monteiro has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Monteiro leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Pellegrino has taken 4 sets to Monteiro's 12. Their most recent meeting: Thiago Monteiro won at San Marino Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pellegrino | Monteiro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrea Pellegrino | Thiago Monteiro | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 15/29 | 58% | 19/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 54% | 13/24 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 51% | 27/53 | 44% | 24/54 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 11/27 | 42% | 15/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 73% | 16/22 | 73% | 11/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 10/14 | 48% | 11/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 19/24 | 81% | 26/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 15/24 | 59% | 19/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pellegrino 1, Monteiro 4).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pellegrino
🏹 Frontrunner
Monteiro
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 307 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Jul 30, 2026
San Marino Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jun 20, 2023
Montechiarugolo Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Sep 25, 2022
Genova Challenger
C Clay · Final
Sep 29, 2021
Lisbon Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Sep 25, 2020
Forli Challenger
C Clay · Semifinals
Sep 4, 2019
Genova
C Clay · Round of 32
Sep 9, 2018
Biella
C Clay · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Pellegrino | Monteiro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrea Pellegrino | Thiago Monteiro | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 88% | 15/17 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 4/8 | 77% | 13/17 |
| 5 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 41% | 7/17 |
| 10 or more | 25% | 2/8 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pellegrino | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–6 | 15–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | 1.64 |
| ROI % | -27.4% | +7.5% |
| Units P/L | -2.74u | +1.66u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pellegrino | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 5 |
| Distance | — | 673 mi · 1,083 km |
| Route | — | POL → ITA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pellegrino has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Monteiro's 33%).
| Opponent | Pellegrino | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Mika Petkovic | W 76 64 | L 64 46 16 |
| Vitaliy Sachko | L 64 36 46 | W 67 64 76 |
| Joao Silva | W 63 62 | L 36 46 |
| Vilius Gaubas | L 46 57 | L 67 67 |
| Gonzalo Bueno | L 36 75 46 | L 57 46 |
| Pol Martin Tiffon | W 64 64 | W 62 36 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Matej Dodig
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Valerio Aboian
Genoa Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Mika Petkovic
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Colton Smith
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Zizou Bergs
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Nishesh Basavareddy
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Thiago Monteiro
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Carlo Alberto Caniato
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Elmer Moller
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 5
Mika Petkovic
Genoa 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Szczecin Challenger · Final
Sep 20
Marco Trungelliti
Szczecin Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 19
Diego Dedura
Szczecin Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Vitaliy Sachko
Szczecin Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Stefano Travaglia
Szczecin Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 14
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
Tulln Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–55 matches
| Metric | Pellegrino | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 61% |
| Sets won | 53% | 58% |
| Games won | 50% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pellegrino | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 6 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pellegrino | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 6 |
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