Andrea Pellegrino vs Roberto Carballes BaenaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Andrea Pellegrino
#129 · 29 yrs · R
4 meetings · sets 4–5
🇪🇸Roberto Carballes Baena
#209 · 33 yrs · R
5wAndrea Pellegrino and Roberto Carballes Baena have met 4 times since 2016; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Fano in 2016 on clay. On clay courts they are level 2–2. Across all meetings Pellegrino has taken 4 sets to Baena's 5. Their most recent meeting: Andrea Pellegrino won at Perugia Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pellegrino | Carballes Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrea Pellegrino | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 18/33 | 58% | 15/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 10/23 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 25/56 | 43% | 20/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 14/32 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 13/20 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 73% | 11/15 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 85% | 22/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 18/27 | 58% | 15/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pellegrino 1, Carballes Baena 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pellegrino
🏹 Frontrunner
Baena
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 657 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Andrea Pellegrino.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jun 4, 2026
Perugia Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Oct 5, 2018
Florence
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jul 9, 2017
San Benedetto
C Clay · Round of 32
Aug 10, 2016
Fano
C Clay · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Pellegrino | Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrea Pellegrino | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 6/12 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 5 or more | 17% | 2/12 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 2/12 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pellegrino | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–6 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.21 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | +11.5% | -20.3% |
| Units P/L | +1.61u | -2.84u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pellegrino | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | CAN | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Baena has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Pellegrino's 60%).
| Opponent | Pellegrino | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Raul Brancaccio | L 63 46 36 | W 64 36 63 |
| Stefano Travaglia | W 76 36 64 | W 61 67 63 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | L 36 46 | L 46 36 |
| Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | W 63 60 | W 63 76 |
| Thiago Seyboth Wild | W 76 61 | W 63 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Zizou Bergs
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Nishesh Basavareddy
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Thiago Monteiro
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Carlo Alberto Caniato
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Andrey Rublev
Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Luciano Darderi
Bundesliga - men
Jul 10
Raul Brancaccio
Trieste Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 8
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Mackenzie McDonald
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Mark Ceban
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Sebastian Ofner
Parma Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jun 18
Stefano Travaglia
Parma Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Miguel Damas
Parma Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–58 matches
| Metric | Pellegrino | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 55% |
| Sets won | 55% | 54% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pellegrino | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pellegrino | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 2 |
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