Andrea Pellegrino vs Juan Manuel La SernaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Andrea Pellegrino
#145 · 29 yrs · R
1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇦🇷Juan Manuel La Serna
#285 · 22 yrs · L
5wAndrea Pellegrino and Juan Manuel La Serna have met 1 time since 2026; Andrea Pellegrino leads 1–0. Across all meetings Pellegrino has taken 2 sets to Serna's 0. Their most recent meeting: Andrea Pellegrino won at IEB+ Argentina Open (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pellegrino | Manuel La Serna | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrea Pellegrino | Juan Manuel La Serna | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 15/29 | 62% | 28/45 |
| Wins a set when losing | 54% | 13/24 | 40% | 10/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 51% | 27/53 | 39% | 27/70 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 11/27 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 73% | 16/22 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 10/14 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 19/24 | 89% | 40/45 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 15/24 | 62% | 28/45 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pellegrino 1, Manuel La Serna 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pellegrino
🏹 Frontrunner
Serna
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 63% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 398 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Andrea Pellegrino.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Feb 7, 2026
IEB+ Argentina Open
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Pellegrino | Serna | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrea Pellegrino | Juan Manuel La Serna | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 4/8 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 5 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 10 or more | 25% | 2/8 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pellegrino | Serna |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–6 | 5–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | 2.10 |
| ROI % | -27.4% | -3.2% |
| Units P/L | -2.74u | -0.29u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pellegrino has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Serna's 40%).
| Opponent | Pellegrino | Serna |
|---|---|---|
| Valerio Aboian | L 36 26 | W 46 61 60 |
| Filip Cristian Jianu | W 61 64 | W 64 36 63 |
| Thiago Seyboth Wild | W 76 61 | L 36 36 |
| Juan Estevez | W 64 26 64 | L 63 36 36 |
| Nicolas Villalon | W 63 64 | L 64 57 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Matej Dodig
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Valerio Aboian
Genoa Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Mika Petkovic
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Colton Smith
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Zizou Bergs
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Nishesh Basavareddy
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Thiago Monteiro
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Carlo Alberto Caniato
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Lukas Neumayer
Tulln Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Filip Cristian Jianu
Tulln Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Yanaki Milev
Plovdiv 3 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Nikita Mashtakov
Plovdiv 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Alexander Vasilev
Plovdiv 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Hynek Barton
Augsburg Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Benjamin Hassan
Augsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Tommaso Compagnucci
Sion Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–70 matches
| Metric | Pellegrino | Serna |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 64% |
| Sets won | 53% | 60% |
| Games won | 50% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pellegrino | Serna |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pellegrino | Serna |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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