Carlos Maria Zarate vs Juan Manuel La SernaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇷Carlos Maria Zarate
#341 · 21 yrs · R
4 meetings · sets 2–8
🇦🇷Juan Manuel La Serna
#254 · 22 yrs · L
4Carlos Maria Zarate and Juan Manuel La Serna have met 4 times since 2025; Juan Manuel La Serna leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at M15 Santiago 5 in 2025 on clay. On clay courts Serna leads 4–0. Serna has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Zarate has taken 2 sets to Serna's 8. Their most recent meeting: Juan Manuel La Serna won at Villa Maria Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Maria Zarate | Manuel La Serna | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carlos Maria Zarate | Juan Manuel La Serna | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 40/55 | 61% | 25/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 8/29 | 44% | 11/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 23/84 | 41% | 27/66 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 62% | 16/26 | 42% | 10/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 68% | 15/22 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 65% | 17/26 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 96% | 49/51 | 88% | 37/42 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 40/51 | 60% | 25/42 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Maria Zarate 0, Manuel La Serna 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zarate
🪃 Counterpuncher
Serna
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs ⚔️ The Gladiator is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 2,317 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Nov 6, 2026
Villa Maria Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Mar 25, 2026
Bucaramanga Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Oct 24, 2025
M15 Santiago 6
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Oct 18, 2025
M15 Santiago 5
C Clay · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Zarate | Serna | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Carlos Maria Zarate | Juan Manuel La Serna | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 23/23 | 62% | 13/21 |
| 3 or more | 52% | 12/23 | 29% | 6/21 |
| 5 or more | 22% | 5/23 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/23 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/23 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/23 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Zarate | Serna |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–5 | 11–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.19 | 2.10 |
| ROI % | +10.8% | +7.8% |
| Units P/L | +1.84u | +1.41u |
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Serna has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Zarate's 60%).
| Opponent | Zarate | Serna |
|---|---|---|
| Lucio Ratti | W 64 64 | W 46 75 75 |
| Mateo Del Pino | W 64 62 | W 46 60 75 |
| Gonzalo Villanueva | W 63 76 | W 63 64 |
| Hugo Dellien | L 06 26 | W |
| Nick Hardt | L 26 26 | L 36 63 16 |
| Felipe Meligeni Alves | L 26 63 57 | W |
| Juan Bautista Torres | W 61 76 | W 64 62 |
| Thiago Seyboth Wild | L 26 26 | L 36 36 |
| Felix Corwin | W 75 62 | W 63 75 |
| Nicolas Oliveira | W 62 62 | L 57 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Juan Manuel La Serna
Villa Maria Challenger · Quarterfinals
Nov 6
Lucio Ratti
Villa Maria Challenger · 2nd Round
Nov 4
Gonzalo Villanueva
Villa Maria Challenger · 1st Round
Nov 2
Hugo Dellien
Guayaquil Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 30
Gonzalo Bueno
Guayaquil Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 29
Alan Magadan
Guayaquil Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 28
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Cali Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 23
Francisco Comesana
Cali Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 22
Nicolas Kicker
Villa Maria Challenger · Semifinals
Nov 7
Carlos Maria Zarate
Villa Maria Challenger · Quarterfinals
Nov 6
Hernan Casanova
Villa Maria Challenger · 2nd Round
Nov 4
Mateo Del Pino
Villa Maria Challenger · 1st Round
Nov 3
Nick Hardt
Guayaquil Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 27
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Cali Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 23
Juan Bautista Torres
Cali Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 21
Hugo Dellien
Cali Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 66–85 matches
| Metric | Zarate | Serna |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 66% | 62% |
| Sets won | 62% | 58% |
| Games won | 54% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Zarate | Serna |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 2 |
| ITF M15 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Zarate | Serna |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 4 |
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