Bastian Malla vs Carlos Maria ZaratePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Bastian Malla and Carlos Maria Zarate have met 4 times since 2025; Carlos Maria Zarate leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at M15 Santiago 5 in 2025 on clay. On clay courts Zarate leads 3–1. Across all meetings Malla has taken 4 sets to Zarate's 6. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Maria Zarate won at M15 Mar Del Plata (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Malla | Maria Zarate | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Bastian Malla | Carlos Maria Zarate | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 83% | 20/24 | 65% | 36/55 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 9/18 | 33% | 10/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 13/42 | 34% | 29/85 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 60% | 12/20 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 6/9 | 74% | 17/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 5/9 | 59% | 17/29 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 22/30 | 92% | 46/50 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 20/30 | 72% | 36/50 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Malla 1, Maria Zarate 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Malla
🧱 The Wall
Zarate
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 54% vs 🧱 The Wall across 753 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Carlos Maria Zarate.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Aug 29, 2026
M15 Mar Del Plata
C Clay · Semifinals
Jul 30, 2026
M15 Sao Paulo
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jul 14, 2026
M15 Villa Constitucion
C Clay · 1st Round
Oct 16, 2025
M15 Santiago 5
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Malla | Zarate | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Bastian Malla | Carlos Maria Zarate | ||
| 1 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 85% | 23/27 |
| 3 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 44% | 12/27 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 7% | 2/27 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/27 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/27 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/27 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Malla | Zarate |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–4 | 13–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.81 | 1.63 |
| ROI % | -23.4% | +23.0% |
| Units P/L | -2.81u | +3.91u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Malla | Zarate |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 8 | 8 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | PAR → ARG | BRA → ARG |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Zarate has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Malla's 60%).
| Opponent | Malla | Zarate |
|---|---|---|
| Maximo Zeitune | W 75 76 | L 26 67 |
| Tomas Martinez | W 46 62 60 | W 64 61 |
| Lorenzo Gagliardo | L 16 36 | W 76 76 |
| Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | L 57 61 46 | L 67 63 67 |
| Gabriel Schenekenberg | W 75 63 | W 67 60 64 |
| Leonardo Monferrer | W 63 64 | W 63 60 |
| Kaue Noatto | W 61 75 | W 63 64 |
| Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | L 67 36 | L 26 61 46 |
| Lucio Ratti | W 63 62 | W 62 62 |
| Ignacio Monzon | L 61 26 46 | W 64 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Carlos Maria Zarate
M15 Mar Del Plata · Semifinals
Aug 29
Maximo Zeitune
M15 Mar Del Plata · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Julian Cundom
M15 Mar Del Plata · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Jackson Ross
M15 Mar Del Plata · 1st Round
Aug 25
Gonzalo Villanueva
M15 Asuncion · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Ignacio De Armas
M15 Asuncion · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Nicolas Zanellato
M15 Asuncion · 1st Round
Aug 18
Lorenzo Gagliardo
M15 Asuncion · 1st Round
Aug 11
Bastian Malla
M15 Mar Del Plata · Semifinals
Aug 29
Tomas Martinez
M15 Mar Del Plata · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Santiago Giamichelle
M15 Mar Del Plata · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Manuel Mouilleron Salvo
M15 Mar Del Plata · 1st Round
Aug 26
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
M25 Londrina · Semifinals
Aug 7
Gustavo Ribeiro De Almeida
M25 Londrina · Quarterfinals
Aug 6
Nicolas Oliveira
M25 Londrina · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Gabriel Schenekenberg
M25 Londrina · 1st Round
Aug 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–86 matches
| Metric | Malla | Zarate |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 65% |
| Sets won | 59% | 61% |
| Games won | 55% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Malla | Zarate |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Malla | Zarate |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 3 |
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