Bastian Malla vs Carlos Maria ZaratePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Bastian Malla and Carlos Maria Zarate have met 4 times since 2025; Carlos Maria Zarate leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at M15 Santiago 5 in 2025 on clay. On clay courts Zarate leads 3–1. Across all meetings Malla has taken 4 sets to Zarate's 6. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Maria Zarate won at M15 Mar Del Plata (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Malla | Maria Zarate | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Bastian Malla | Carlos Maria Zarate | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 83% | 25/30 | 69% | 38/55 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 8/15 | 28% | 8/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 13/45 | 30% | 25/84 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 12/21 | 50% | 13/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 6/8 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 4/7 | 63% | 17/27 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 28/35 | 94% | 47/50 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 25/35 | 76% | 38/50 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Malla 1, Maria Zarate 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Malla
⚔️ The Gladiator
Zarate
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,464 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Carlos Maria Zarate.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Aug 29, 2026
M15 Mar Del Plata
C Clay · Semifinals
Jul 30, 2026
M15 Sao Paulo
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jul 14, 2026
M15 Villa Constitucion
C Clay · 1st Round
Oct 16, 2025
M15 Santiago 5
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Malla | Zarate | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Bastian Malla | Carlos Maria Zarate | ||
| 1 or more | 63% | 10/16 | 96% | 21/22 |
| 3 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 41% | 9/22 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 9% | 2/22 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/22 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/22 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/22 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Malla | Zarate |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–4 | 10–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.70 | 1.65 |
| ROI % | -17.9% | -10.0% |
| Units P/L | -2.32u | -1.40u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Malla | Zarate |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 2 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 835 mi · 1,344 km |
| Route | ARG | ARG → BRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Malla and Zarate posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Malla | Zarate |
|---|---|---|
| Felipe Meligeni Alves | L 63 67 36 | L 46 26 |
| Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | L 26 57 | L 26 16 |
| Leonardo Monferrer | W 62 61 | W 63 60 |
| Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | L | L 16 76 67 |
| Lorenzo Gagliardo | L 16 36 | W 63 64 |
| Felix Corwin | W 63 76 | W 75 62 |
| Valentino Grippo | W 64 60 | W 63 62 |
| Maximo Zeitune | W 75 76 | L 26 67 |
| Tomas Martinez | W 46 62 60 | W 64 61 |
| Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | L 57 61 46 | L 67 63 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Leonardo Monferrer
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
Buenos Aires Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Ian Vertberger
M15 Trelew · 1st Round
Sep 1
Carlos Maria Zarate
M15 Mar Del Plata · Semifinals
Aug 29
Maximo Zeitune
M15 Mar Del Plata · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Julian Cundom
M15 Mar Del Plata · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Jackson Ross
M15 Mar Del Plata · 1st Round
Aug 25
Gonzalo Villanueva
M15 Asuncion · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Lorenzo Gagliardo
M15 Trelew · Final
Sep 5
Felix Corwin
M15 Trelew · Semifinals
Sep 4
Valentino Grippo
M15 Trelew · Quarterfinals
Sep 3
Giovanni Branchetti
M15 Trelew · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Nicolas Bruna
M15 Trelew · 1st Round
Sep 1
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
M15 Mar Del Plata · Final
Aug 30
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–85 matches
| Metric | Malla | Zarate |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 66% |
| Sets won | 66% | 61% |
| Games won | 58% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Malla | Zarate |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Malla | Zarate |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 3 |
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