Andrea Pellegrino vs Daniel MeridaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrea Pellegrino and Daniel Merida have met 2 times since 2024; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Murcia Challenger in 2024 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Pellegrino has taken 3 sets to Merida's 3. Their most recent meeting: Daniel Merida won at Perugia Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pellegrino | Merida | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrea Pellegrino | Daniel Merida | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 18/33 | 62% | 23/37 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 10/23 | 41% | 9/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 25/56 | 39% | 23/59 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 14/32 | 45% | 17/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 13/20 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 73% | 11/15 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 91% | 31/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 18/27 | 68% | 23/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pellegrino 0, Merida 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pellegrino
🏹 Frontrunner
Merida
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 657 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Andrea Pellegrino.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 6, 2026
Perugia Challenger
C Clay · Semifinals
Mar 19, 2024
Murcia Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Pellegrino | Merida | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrea Pellegrino | Daniel Merida | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 6/12 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 5 or more | 17% | 2/12 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 2/12 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pellegrino | Merida |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–6 | 3–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.21 | 4.13 |
| ROI % | +11.5% | -15.2% |
| Units P/L | +1.61u | -0.91u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pellegrino | Merida |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | CAN | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Merida has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs Pellegrino's 29%).
| Opponent | Pellegrino | Merida |
|---|---|---|
| Thiago Monteiro | L 36 26 | L 36 16 |
| Dalibor Svrcina | L 76 57 510 | W 67 64 76 |
| Martin Damm | L 06 67 | L 36 26 |
| Maks Kasnikowski | W 46 76 61 | W 64 63 |
| Vilius Gaubas | L 46 57 | L 16 46 |
| Stefano Travaglia | W 76 36 64 | W 61 36 75 |
| Jan Choinski | L 26 63 16 | W 63 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Zizou Bergs
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Nishesh Basavareddy
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Thiago Monteiro
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Carlo Alberto Caniato
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Andrey Rublev
Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Luciano Darderi
Bundesliga - men
Jul 10
Raul Brancaccio
Trieste Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 8
Daniil Medvedev
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 30
Martin Damm
HSBC Championships · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Henrique Rocha
Perugia Challenger · Final
Jun 7
Andrea Pellegrino
Perugia Challenger · Semifinals
Jun 6
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Perugia Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jun 5
Liam Broady
Perugia Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 3
Ben Shelton
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–62 matches
| Metric | Pellegrino | Merida |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 60% |
| Sets won | 55% | 57% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pellegrino | Merida |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pellegrino | Merida |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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