Anastasija Sevastova vs Paula BadosaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇱🇻Anastasija Sevastova
#840 · 36 yrs · Right-Handed
39w2 meetings · sets 2–4
🇪🇸Paula Badosa
#58 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Anastasija Sevastova and Paula Badosa have met 2 times since 2021; Paula Badosa leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Abu Dhabi Tennis Open - Abu Dhabi in 2021 on hard. Badosa has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Sevastova has taken 2 sets to Badosa's 4. Their most recent meeting: Paula Badosa won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sevastova | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anastasija Sevastova | Paula Badosa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 0% | 0/3 | 74% | 20/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 60% | 3/5 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 75% | 6/8 | 31% | 14/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 0% | 0/7 | 51% | 19/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 100% | 1/1 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 3/3 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 50% | 1/2 | 88% | 21/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 0% | 0/2 | 83% | 20/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sevastova 0, Badosa 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sevastova
💥 Big Hitter
Badosa
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Anastasija Sevastova and Paula Badosa are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,594 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
May 3, 2021
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 3rd Round
Jan 6, 2021
Abu Dhabi Tennis Open - Abu Dhabi
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sevastova | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 10–4 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.72 |
| ROI % | - | -3.7% |
| Units P/L | - | -0.52u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sevastova | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 6 |
| Distance | — | 10,936 mi · 17,599 km |
| Route | — | BRA → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Badosa has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Sevastova's 0%).
| Opponent | Sevastova | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Sinja Kraus | L 46 76 36 | W 75 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Whitney Osuigwe
Australian Open - Melbourne · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 13
Sinja Kraus
ASB Classic - Auckland · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 3
Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah
Open BLS de Limoges - Limoges · 2nd Round
Dec 11
Aliona Falei
W75 Trnava 4 · Quarterfinals
Nov 28
Weronika Ewald
W75 Trnava 4 · 2nd Round
Nov 27
Weronika Ewald
W75 Trnava · Round of 16
Nov 27
Ayla Aksu
W75 Trnava 4 · 1st Round
Nov 26
Maya Joint
Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong · 1st Round
Oct 28
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Daria Kasatkina
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Nadia Podoroska
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Semifinals
Sep 19
Mary Stoiana
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Jazmin Ortenzi
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Justina Mikulskyte
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Sep 16
Coco Gauff
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Daria Kasatkina
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 8–45 matches
| Metric | Sevastova | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 38% | 60% |
| Sets won | 41% | 59% |
| Games won | 45% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sevastova | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sevastova | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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