Anastasija Sevastova vs Paula BadosaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇱🇻Anastasija Sevastova
#589 · 36 yrs · Right-Handed
37w2 meetings · sets 2–4
🇪🇸Paula Badosa
#83 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
5wAnastasija Sevastova and Paula Badosa have met 2 times since 2021; Paula Badosa leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Abu Dhabi Tennis Open - Abu Dhabi in 2021 on hard. Badosa has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Sevastova has taken 2 sets to Badosa's 4. Their most recent meeting: Paula Badosa won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sevastova | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anastasija Sevastova | Paula Badosa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 25% | 1/4 | 78% | 18/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 2/4 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 63% | 5/8 | 33% | 13/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 17% | 1/6 | 55% | 17/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 1/2 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 3/3 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 2/3 | 83% | 19/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 33% | 1/3 | 78% | 18/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sevastova 0, Badosa 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sevastova
🎯 Baseliner
Badosa
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 54% vs 🎯 Baseliner across 330 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Paula Badosa.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
May 3, 2021
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 3rd Round
Jan 6, 2021
Abu Dhabi Tennis Open - Abu Dhabi
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sevastova | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 13–4 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.70 |
| ROI % | - | +18.2% |
| Units P/L | - | +3.09u |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah
Open BLS de Limoges - Limoges · 2nd Round
Dec 11
Aliona Falei
W75 Trnava 4 · Quarterfinals
Nov 28
Weronika Ewald
W75 Trnava 4 · 2nd Round
Nov 27
Weronika Ewald
W75 Trnava · Round of 16
Nov 27
Ayla Aksu
W75 Trnava 4 · 1st Round
Nov 26
Maya Joint
Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong · 1st Round
Oct 28
Jasmine Paolini
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Sep 26
Kimberly Birrell
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 24
Mayar Sherif
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Panna Udvardy
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Katarzyna Kawa
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 1st Round
Jul 22
Tamara Zidansek
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · Semifinals
Jul 18
Panna Udvardy
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Alevtina Ibragimova
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Anhelina Kalinina
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 1st Round
Jul 14
Simona Waltert
Nordea Open - Bastad · Final
Jul 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 8–39 matches
| Metric | Sevastova | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 59% |
| Sets won | 48% | 59% |
| Games won | 47% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sevastova | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sevastova | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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