Anastasia Potapova vs Marta KostyukPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Anastasia Potapova
#25 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
5 meetings · sets 5–7
🇺🇦Marta Kostyuk
#11 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
Anastasia Potapova and Marta Kostyuk have met 5 times since 2023; Marta Kostyuk leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Miami Open - Miami in 2023 on hard. On clay courts Kostyuk leads 2–0. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Kostyuk has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Potapova has taken 5 sets to Kostyuk's 7. Their most recent meeting: Marta Kostyuk won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Potapova | Kostyuk | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anastasia Potapova | Marta Kostyuk | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 15/26 | 73% | 27/37 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 4/15 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 15/41 | 31% | 15/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 9/22 | 62% | 21/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 12/19 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 6/13 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 17/19 | 91% | 31/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 15/19 | 79% | 27/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Potapova 1, Kostyuk 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Potapova
👑 The Complete Package
Kostyuk
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
Both Anastasia Potapova and Marta Kostyuk are 👑 The Complete Package types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 3,166 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Apr 30, 2026
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · Semifinals
Apr 29, 2025
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 4th Round
Mar 14, 2024
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jun 20, 2023
Rothesay Classic - Birmingham
G Grass · 1st Round
Mar 23, 2023
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Potapova | Kostyuk | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Anastasia Potapova | Marta Kostyuk | ||
| 1 or more | 71% | 5/7 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 60% | 9/15 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 47% | 7/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Potapova | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–4 | 11–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.77 | 1.55 |
| ROI % | -40.4% | +3.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.83u | +0.49u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Potapova | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 7 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kostyuk has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Potapova's 30%).
| Opponent | Potapova | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Coco Gauff | W 46 76 64 | L 26 26 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 61 46 36 | W 46 60 62 |
| Sloane Stephens | L 26 46 | W 75 75 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 16 16 | W 63 26 62 |
| Linda Noskova | L 26 46 | L 46 46 |
| Jasmine Paolini | L 76 26 36 | W 63 62 |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | L 26 36 | W 76 62 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 67 26 | W 61 64 |
| Karolina Muchova | W 63 62 | L 62 26 46 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 76 64 | L 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sloane Stephens
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Elena Gabriela Ruse
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Diana Shnaider
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 31
Venus Williams
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Suzan Lamens
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 1st Round
Jun 10
Anna Kalinskaya
French Open - Paris · 4th Round
Jun 1
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Mirra Andreeva
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Sloane Stephens
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Sofia Kenin
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Iga Swiatek
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Madison Keys
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Katherine Sebov
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–48 matches
| Metric | Potapova | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 77% |
| Sets won | 58% | 71% |
| Games won | 53% | 59% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Potapova | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Potapova | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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