Anastasia Potapova vs Leylah FernandezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Anastasia Potapova
#26 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
5 meetings · sets 3–9
🇨🇦Leylah Fernandez
#25 · 23 yrs · Left-Handed
TitleAnastasia Potapova and Leylah Fernandez have met 5 times since 2020; Leylah Fernandez leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Abierto Mexicano TELCEL - Acapulco in 2020 on hard. On clay courts Fernandez leads 3–0. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Potapova has taken 3 sets to Fernandez's 9. Their most recent meeting: Anastasia Potapova won at U.S. Open - New York (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Potapova | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anastasia Potapova | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 17/30 | 69% | 22/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 6/18 | 31% | 8/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 19/48 | 31% | 18/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 11/29 | 50% | 20/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 12/18 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 7/14 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 20/23 | 79% | 27/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 17/23 | 65% | 22/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Potapova 0, Fernandez 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Potapova
👑 The Complete Package
Fernandez
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 2,084 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Anastasia Potapova.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Aug 27, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
May 19, 2024
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg
C Clay · 1st Round
Apr 25, 2024
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 2nd Round
May 30, 2021
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Feb 27, 2020
Abierto Mexicano TELCEL - Acapulco
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Potapova | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Anastasia Potapova | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 8/10 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 3 or more | 30% | 3/10 | 40% | 6/15 |
| 5 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 10 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Potapova | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–4 | 11–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.55 | 2.16 |
| ROI % | +19.6% | +32.2% |
| Units P/L | +1.76u | +5.15u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Potapova | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 7 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 3,433 mi · 5,525 km |
| Route | ROU | SGP → ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fernandez has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Potapova's 50%).
| Opponent | Potapova | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | L | W 64 36 63 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 75 46 36 | W 62 75 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 67 26 | L 61 46 36 |
| Leolia Jeanjean | W 64 26 63 | W 61 75 |
| Shuai Zhang | W 63 61 | W 63 62 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 16 26 | L 36 06 |
| Katie Boulter | W 57 64 62 | W 67 63 63 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | L | L 46 67 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 63 62 | W 57 75 63 |
| Dalma Galfi | W 57 62 64 | W 61 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sinja Kraus
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Mirra Andreeva
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Amanda Anisimova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Leolia Jeanjean
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Darja Semenistaja
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Sloane Stephens
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Elena Gabriela Ruse
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round
Oct 12
Kamilla Rakhimova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Talia Gibson
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Final
Sep 27
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Semifinals
Sep 26
Mirra Andreeva
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Alycia Parks
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Kyoka Okamura
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 21
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–58 matches
| Metric | Potapova | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 55% |
| Sets won | 57% | 54% |
| Games won | 52% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Potapova | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Potapova | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 3 |
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