Anastasia Potapova vs Leylah FernandezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Anastasia Potapova
#25 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
5 meetings · sets 3–9
🇨🇦Leylah Fernandez
#32 · 23 yrs · Left-Handed
Anastasia Potapova and Leylah Fernandez have met 5 times since 2020; Leylah Fernandez leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Abierto Mexicano TELCEL - Acapulco in 2020 on hard. On clay courts Fernandez leads 3–0. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Potapova has taken 3 sets to Fernandez's 9. Their most recent meeting: Anastasia Potapova won at U.S. Open - New York (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Potapova | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anastasia Potapova | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 15/26 | 68% | 17/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 4/15 | 31% | 8/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 15/41 | 31% | 16/51 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 9/22 | 48% | 16/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 12/19 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 6/13 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 17/19 | 75% | 21/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 15/19 | 61% | 17/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Potapova 0, Fernandez 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Potapova
👑 The Complete Package
Fernandez
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Aug 27, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
May 19, 2024
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg
C Clay · 1st Round
Apr 25, 2024
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 2nd Round
May 30, 2021
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Feb 27, 2020
Abierto Mexicano TELCEL - Acapulco
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Potapova | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Anastasia Potapova | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| 1 or more | 75% | 6/8 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 3 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 55% | 6/11 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Potapova | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 4–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| ROI % | -47.9% | -8.7% |
| Units P/L | -3.83u | -0.87u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Potapova | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Distance | 761 mi · 1,225 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | AUT → CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Potapova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Fernandez's 40%).
| Opponent | Potapova | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Mirra Andreeva | L 61 46 36 | W 61 64 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 16 26 | L 36 06 |
| Katie Boulter | W 57 64 62 | W 67 63 63 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | W 63 75 | L 46 67 |
| Coco Gauff | W 46 76 64 | L 46 64 57 |
| Victoria Mboko | W 76 75 | L 46 46 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 67 26 | L 26 26 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 63 62 | W 57 75 63 |
| Dalma Galfi | W 57 62 64 | W 61 64 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 76 64 | L 76 46 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sloane Stephens
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Elena Gabriela Ruse
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Diana Shnaider
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 31
Venus Williams
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Suzan Lamens
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 1st Round
Jun 10
Anna Kalinskaya
French Open - Paris · 4th Round
Jun 1
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Mirra Andreeva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Renata Zarazua
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Magda Linette
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Xi Yao Wang
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 2nd Round
Jun 23
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–51 matches
| Metric | Potapova | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 49% |
| Sets won | 58% | 49% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Potapova | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Potapova | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 3 |
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