Anastasia Potapova vs Daria KasatkinaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ท๐บAnastasia Potapova
#25 ยท 25 yrs ยท Right-Handed
1 meeting ยท sets 2โ1

๐ฆ๐บDaria Kasatkina
#59 ยท 29 yrs ยท Right-Handed
Anastasia Potapova and Daria Kasatkina have met 1 time since 2026; Anastasia Potapova leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Potapova has taken 2 sets to Kasatkina's 1. Their most recent meeting: Anastasia Potapova won at Brisbane International - Brisbane (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Potapova | Kasatkina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anastasia Potapova | Daria Kasatkina | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 15/26 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 4/15 | 53% | 10/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 15/41 | 47% | 16/34 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 9/22 | 28% | 7/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 12/19 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 6/13 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 17/19 | 73% | 11/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 15/19 | 60% | 9/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Potapova 0, Kasatkina 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Potapova
๐ The Complete Package
Kasatkina
๐ช Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The ๐ The Complete Package archetype wins about 56% vs ๐ช Counterpuncher across 6,005 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Anastasia Potapova.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jan 4, 2026
Brisbane International - Brisbane
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Potapova | Kasatkina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Anastasia Potapova | Daria Kasatkina | ||
| 1 or more | 71% | 5/7 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 3 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Potapova | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3โ4 | 3โ7 |
| Avg odds | 1.77 | 2.44 |
| ROI % | -40.4% | -51.7% |
| Units P/L | -2.83u | -5.17u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Potapova | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 2 |
| Distance | 411 mi ยท 662 km | 411 mi ยท 662 km |
| Route | CAN โ POL | CAN โ POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Potapova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Kasatkina's 38%).
| Opponent | Potapova | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Zeynep Sonmez | W 63 75 | L 62 67 36 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 76 64 | L 36 75 46 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | L 46 62 67 | L 46 16 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 67 67 | L 06 57 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 63 62 | W 75 63 |
| Tamara Korpatsch | W 62 61 | W 26 63 75 |
| Emiliana Arango | L 67 26 | W 62 36 76 |
| Katerina Siniakova | W 63 64 | L 67 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sloane Stephens
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 17
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 3rd Round
Aug 7
Elena Gabriela Ruse
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 4
Diana Shnaider
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท 2nd Round
Jul 31
Venus Williams
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท 1st Round
Jul 29
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Suzan Lamens
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch ยท 1st Round
Jun 10
Anna Kalinskaya
French Open - Paris ยท 4th Round
Jun 1
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Anna Kalinskaya
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท 1st Round
Jul 28
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 3
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 1
Mingge Xu
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Mccartney Kessler
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท 1st Round
Jun 22
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 34โ41 matches
| Metric | Potapova | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 44% |
| Sets won | 58% | 48% |
| Games won | 53% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Potapova | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Potapova | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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