Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova vs Madison KeysPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
#444 · 34 yrs · Right-Handed
19w5 meetings · sets 7–5
🇺🇸Madison Keys
#23 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova and Madison Keys have met 5 times since 2016; Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Montreal in 2016 on hard. On clay courts Pavlyuchenkova leads 2–1. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Pavlyuchenkova has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Pavlyuchenkova has taken 7 sets to Keys's 5. Their most recent meeting: Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pavlyuchenkova | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova | Madison Keys | ||
| Wins in straight sets | — | 75% | 24/32 | |
| Wins a set when losing | 17% | 1/6 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 17% | 1/6 | 34% | 16/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 0% | 0/1 | 59% | 22/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/5 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 0% | 0/1 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | — | 83% | 25/30 | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | — | 80% | 24/30 | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pavlyuchenkova 2, Keys 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pavlyuchenkova
🤖 Servebot
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Oct 8, 2021
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Apr 30, 2021
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 1st Round
May 16, 2018
Rome
C Clay · Round of 64
Apr 25, 2018
Stuttgart
C Clay · Round of 32
Jul 29, 2016
Montreal
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pavlyuchenkova | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 13–6 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.44 |
| ROI % | - | -10.3% |
| Units P/L | - | -1.95u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pavlyuchenkova | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 6 |
| Distance | — | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | — | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Pavlyuchenkova's 0%).
| Opponent | Pavlyuchenkova | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Mccartney Kessler | L 36 36 | W 63 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexandra Eala
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 1st Round
Apr 22
Barbora Krejcikova
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 1st Round
Feb 15
Elise Mertens
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 1st Round
Feb 8
Mccartney Kessler
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi · 1st Round
Feb 1
Zhuoxuan Bai
Australian Open - Melbourne · 1st Round
Jan 18
Sorana Cirstea
Brisbane International - Brisbane · 1st Round
Jan 4
Victoria Azarenka
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Dayana Yastremska
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 25
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Antonia Ruzic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Liudmila Samsonova
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 6–47 matches
| Metric | Pavlyuchenkova | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 0% | 68% |
| Sets won | 8% | 65% |
| Games won | 36% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pavlyuchenkova | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pavlyuchenkova | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
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