Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova vs Daria KasatkinaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
#641 · 34 yrs · Right-Handed
23w7 meetings · sets 5–11
🇦🇺Daria Kasatkina
#82 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova and Daria Kasatkina have met 7 times since 2015; Daria Kasatkina leads 5–2. Their first meeting came at Moscow in 2015 on hard. On hard courts Kasatkina leads 3–2. On clay courts Kasatkina leads 2–0. Across all meetings Pavlyuchenkova has taken 5 sets to Kasatkina's 11. Their most recent meeting: Daria Kasatkina won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pavlyuchenkova | Kasatkina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova | Daria Kasatkina | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 1/2 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 17% | 1/6 | 55% | 11/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 2/8 | 51% | 21/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 0% | 0/1 | 31% | 9/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 29% | 2/7 | 67% | 8/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 0% | 0/1 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 2/2 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 1/2 | 61% | 11/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 5 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pavlyuchenkova 1, Kasatkina 4).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pavlyuchenkova
🤖 Servebot
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,089 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Apr 28, 2024
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 3rd Round
Feb 12, 2024
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · 1st Round
Apr 28, 2023
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 16, 2021
Phillip Island Trophy - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
Oct 19, 2018
Moscow
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Oct 18, 2017
Moscow
H Hard · Round of 32
Oct 24, 2015
Moscow
H Hard · Semifinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pavlyuchenkova | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 5–6 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.20 |
| ROI % | - | -31.7% |
| Units P/L | - | -3.49u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pavlyuchenkova | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 3 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 3,433 mi · 5,525 km |
| Route | — | SGP → ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kasatkina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Pavlyuchenkova's 0%).
| Opponent | Pavlyuchenkova | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Mccartney Kessler | L 36 36 | L 36 67 |
| Elise Mertens | L 26 16 | W 64 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Veronika Erjavec
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 1st Round Qualifying
May 4
Alexandra Eala
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 1st Round
Apr 22
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 3rd Round Qualifying
Apr 21
Viktoriya Tomova
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 20
Tena Lukas
Dubrovnik Open - Dubrovnik · 1st Round
Mar 24
Barbora Krejcikova
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 1st Round
Feb 15
Elise Mertens
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 1st Round
Feb 8
Mccartney Kessler
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi · 1st Round
Feb 1
Sara Sorribes Tormo
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Viktorija Golubic
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 21
Paula Badosa
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 8–41 matches
| Metric | Pavlyuchenkova | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 25% | 51% |
| Sets won | 28% | 51% |
| Games won | 42% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pavlyuchenkova | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 2 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pavlyuchenkova | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 3 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.