Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova vs Daria KasatkinaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
#444 · 34 yrs · Right-Handed
19w7 meetings · sets 5–11
🇦🇺Daria Kasatkina
#59 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova and Daria Kasatkina have met 7 times since 2015; Daria Kasatkina leads 5–2. Their first meeting came at Moscow in 2015 on hard. On hard courts Kasatkina leads 3–2. On clay courts Kasatkina leads 2–0. Across all meetings Pavlyuchenkova has taken 5 sets to Kasatkina's 11. Their most recent meeting: Daria Kasatkina won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pavlyuchenkova | Kasatkina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova | Daria Kasatkina | ||
| Wins in straight sets | — | 60% | 9/15 | |
| Wins a set when losing | 17% | 1/6 | 55% | 11/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 17% | 1/6 | 49% | 17/35 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 0% | 0/1 | 28% | 7/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/5 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 0% | 0/1 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | — | 73% | 11/15 | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | — | 60% | 9/15 | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 5 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pavlyuchenkova 1, Kasatkina 4).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pavlyuchenkova
🤖 Servebot
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,880 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Apr 28, 2024
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 3rd Round
Feb 12, 2024
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · 1st Round
Apr 28, 2023
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 16, 2021
Phillip Island Trophy - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
Oct 19, 2018
Moscow
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Oct 18, 2017
Moscow
H Hard · Round of 32
Oct 24, 2015
Moscow
H Hard · Semifinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pavlyuchenkova | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 3–7 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.44 |
| ROI % | - | -51.7% |
| Units P/L | - | -5.17u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pavlyuchenkova | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | — | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kasatkina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Pavlyuchenkova's 0%).
| Opponent | Pavlyuchenkova | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Mccartney Kessler | L 36 36 | L 36 67 |
| Elise Mertens | L 26 16 | W 64 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexandra Eala
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 1st Round
Apr 22
Barbora Krejcikova
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 1st Round
Feb 15
Elise Mertens
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 1st Round
Feb 8
Mccartney Kessler
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi · 1st Round
Feb 1
Zhuoxuan Bai
Australian Open - Melbourne · 1st Round
Jan 18
Sorana Cirstea
Brisbane International - Brisbane · 1st Round
Jan 4
Victoria Azarenka
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Dayana Yastremska
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 25
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Anna Kalinskaya
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Mingge Xu
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Mccartney Kessler
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 6–35 matches
| Metric | Pavlyuchenkova | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 0% | 43% |
| Sets won | 8% | 47% |
| Games won | 36% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pavlyuchenkova | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 2 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pavlyuchenkova | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 3 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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