Amanda Anisimova vs Jelena OstapenkoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈAmanda Anisimova
#17 Β· 24 yrs Β· Right-Handed
6w2 meetings Β· sets 3β2

π±π»Jelena Ostapenko
#34 Β· 29 yrs Β· Right-Handed
Amanda Anisimova and Jelena Ostapenko have met 2 times since 2022; they are level 1β1. Their first meeting came at Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha in 2022 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1β1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Anisimova leading those 1β0. Across all meetings Anisimova has taken 3 sets to Ostapenko's 2. Their most recent meeting: Amanda Anisimova won at Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Anisimova | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Amanda Anisimova | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 15/24 | 71% | 17/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 46% | 6/13 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 15/37 | 40% | 17/42 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 12/27 | 57% | 13/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 6/8 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 4/8 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 18/20 | 69% | 18/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 15/20 | 65% | 17/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Anisimova 1, Ostapenko 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Anisimova
π The Complete Package
Ostapenko
π₯ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
π The Complete Package vs π₯ Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Feb 15, 2025
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard Β· Final
Feb 22, 2022
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Anisimova | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Amanda Anisimova | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| 1 or more | 78% | 7/9 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 56% | 5/9 | 83% | 5/6 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Anisimova | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6β3 | 2β4 |
| Avg odds | 1.59 | 1.89 |
| ROI % | -2.6% | -34.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.23u | -2.04u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Anisimova | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | β | 2 |
| Events | β | 2 |
| Matches | β | 4 |
| Distance | β | 592 mi Β· 952 km |
| Route | β | POR β ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Anisimova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Ostapenko's 30%).
| Opponent | Anisimova | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Anastasia Potapova | L 26 57 | L 64 46 46 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 46 62 67 | L 64 36 26 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 46 64 62 | W 64 75 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | W 62 63 | W 63 60 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 36 63 36 | L 46 46 |
| Simona Waltert | W 63 62 | W 62 75 |
| Mirra Andreeva | W 26 75 76 | L 75 26 46 |
| Victoria Mboko | L 46 16 | L 36 26 |
| Xi Yao Wang | W 76 64 | L 64 46 46 |
| Xin Yu Wang | W 76 64 | L 64 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Anastasia Potapova
U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round
Sep 5
Lilli Tagger
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Sep 3
Ashlyn Krueger
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Aug 31
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Linda Noskova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 4th Round
Aug 19
Alexandra Eala
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 18
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 15
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 4th Round
Aug 9
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing Β· 3rd Round
Oct 5
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing Β· 2nd Round
Oct 3
Taylah Preston
Korea Open - Seoul Β· 2nd Round
Sep 24
Anastasia Zakharova
Korea Open - Seoul Β· 1st Round
Sep 22
Tatjana Maria
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Sep 3
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 15
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 2nd Round
Aug 4
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London Β· 3rd Round
Jul 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 37β42 matches
| Metric | Anisimova | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 57% |
| Sets won | 61% | 57% |
| Games won | 55% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Anisimova | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Anisimova | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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