Alycia Parks vs Daria KasatkinaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈAlycia Parks
#89 Β· 25 yrs Β· Right-Handed
2 meetings Β· sets 1β4

π¦πΊDaria Kasatkina
#59 Β· 29 yrs Β· Right-Handed
Alycia Parks and Daria Kasatkina have met 2 times since 2023; Daria Kasatkina leads 2β0. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2023 on hard. Kasatkina has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Parks has taken 1 sets to Kasatkina's 4. Their most recent meeting: Daria Kasatkina won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Parks | Kasatkina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alycia Parks | Daria Kasatkina | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 14/23 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 11/31 | 55% | 11/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 20/54 | 49% | 17/35 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 9/25 | 28% | 7/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 16/27 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 6/10 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 16/22 | 73% | 11/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 14/22 | 60% | 9/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Parks 0, Kasatkina 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Parks
π€ Servebot
Kasatkina
πͺ Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The π€ Servebot archetype wins about 53% vs πͺ Counterpuncher across 2,880 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alycia Parks.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Apr 25, 2025
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay Β· 2nd Round
Aug 29, 2023
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Parks | Kasatkina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alycia Parks | Daria Kasatkina | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 8/10 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 5/10 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 2/10 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Parks | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6β8 | 3β7 |
| Avg odds | 2.03 | 2.44 |
| ROI % | -27.0% | -51.7% |
| Units P/L | -3.78u | -5.17u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Parks | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 2 |
| Distance | 1,715 mi Β· 2,760 km | 411 mi Β· 662 km |
| Route | CAN β POL β AUT | CAN β POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Kasatkina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Parks's 13%).
| Opponent | Parks | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Ann Li | L 26 36 | L 76 26 46 |
| Maria Sakkari | L 46 36 | W 76 64 |
| Emiliana Arango | L 64 36 57 | W 62 36 76 |
| Anna Blinkova | L 57 57 | L 36 26 |
| Susan Bandecchi | L 46 57 | W 75 76 |
| Moyuka Uchijima | W 62 64 | W 46 63 60 |
| Tamara Korpatsch | L 36 36 | W 26 63 75 |
| Sonay Kartal | L 36 26 | L 36 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ann Li
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Maja Chwalinska
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey Β· 2nd Round
Aug 27
Petra Marcinko
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey Β· 1st Round
Aug 25
Viktorija Golubic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 14
Alexandra Eala
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 2nd Round
Aug 6
Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 1st Round
Aug 4
Lucie Havlickova
Livesport Prague Open - Prague Β· 1st Round
Jul 20
Maria Sakkari
Athens Open - Athens Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 1st Round
Aug 4
Anna Kalinskaya
Mubadala DC Open - Washington Β· 1st Round
Jul 28
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London Β· 3rd Round
Jul 3
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London Β· 2nd Round
Jul 1
Mingge Xu
Wimbledon - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 29
Mccartney Kessler
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne Β· 1st Round
Jun 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 35β54 matches
| Metric | Parks | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 43% | 43% |
| Sets won | 45% | 47% |
| Games won | 48% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Parks | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Parks | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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