Alina Korneeva vs Madison KeysPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- U.S. Open - New York
- Level
- Grand Slam
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- September 1 · 11:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
Priced around 1.35 or shorter, Madison Keys has won 109 of 140 matches, 78% against a fair-price expectation of 77%.
Book prices only, with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Sample sizes below ten are not shown.
Alina Korneeva and Madison Keys meet next at the U.S. Open - New York on September 1 on hard.
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Korneeva | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alina Korneeva | Madison Keys | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 32/42 | 75% | 24/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 5/17 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 15/59 | 34% | 16/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 25/43 | 59% | 22/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 8/14 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 8/16 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 33/35 | 83% | 25/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 91% | 32/35 | 80% | 24/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Korneeva
👑 The Complete Package
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Korneeva and Keys have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Korneeva | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alina Korneeva | Madison Keys | ||
| 1 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 100% | 19/19 |
| 3 or more | 46% | 5/11 | 68% | 13/19 |
| 5 or more | 18% | 2/11 | 37% | 7/19 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 16% | 3/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Korneeva | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 13–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.01 | 1.44 |
| ROI % | -0.6% | -10.3% |
| Units P/L | -0.07u | -1.95u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Korneeva | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 6 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 4 shared opponents, both Korneeva and Keys posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Korneeva | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Daria Snigur | W 16 76 61 | W 46 63 63 |
| Tereza Valentova | W 75 63 | W 64 61 |
| Hanne Vandewinkel | W 75 63 | W 63 60 |
| Fiona Ferro | W 64 60 | W 64 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Coco Gauff
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Iva Jovic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Emma Navarro
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Maria Sakkari
Athens Open - Athens · Semifinals
Jul 18
Tereza Valentova
Athens Open - Athens · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Ann Li
Athens Open - Athens · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Aoi Ito
Athens Open - Athens · 1st Round
Jul 14
Kimberly Birrell
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Antonia Ruzic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Liudmila Samsonova
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–59 matches
| Metric | Korneeva | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 71% | 68% |
| Sets won | 67% | 65% |
| Games won | 58% | 56% |