Alina Korneeva vs Madison KeysPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alina Korneeva and Madison Keys have met 1 time since 2026; Madison Keys leads 1–0. Across all meetings Korneeva has taken 0 sets to Keys's 2. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Korneeva | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alina Korneeva | Madison Keys | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 27/40 | 74% | 25/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 22% | 4/18 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 17/58 | 36% | 18/50 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 19/40 | 57% | 23/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 9/16 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 7/14 | 46% | 6/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 97% | 31/32 | 81% | 26/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 84% | 27/32 | 78% | 25/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Korneeva 0, Keys 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Korneeva
👑 The Complete Package
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 1, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Korneeva | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alina Korneeva | Madison Keys | ||
| 1 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 27% | 3/11 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 50% | 5/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 20% | 2/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Korneeva | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–3 | 6–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.03 | 1.40 |
| ROI % | +25.8% | -24.8% |
| Units P/L | +3.09u | -2.48u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Korneeva | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | POR | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 3 shared opponents, both Korneeva and Keys posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Korneeva | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Tereza Valentova | W 75 63 | W 64 61 |
| Hanne Vandewinkel | W 75 63 | W 63 60 |
| Fiona Ferro | W 64 60 | W 64 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Taylah Preston
Korea Open - Seoul · Quarterfinals
Sep 26
Maya Joint
Korea Open - Seoul · Semifinals
Sep 26
Darya Astakhova
Korea Open - Seoul · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 21
Madison Keys
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Varvara Lepchenko
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Coco Gauff
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Iva Jovic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Anna Bondar
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Alina Korneeva
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–58 matches
| Metric | Korneeva | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 69% | 68% |
| Sets won | 63% | 65% |
| Games won | 56% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Korneeva | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Korneeva | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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