Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Paula BadosaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇾Aliaksandra Sasnovich
#136 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
6w3 meetings · sets 2–5
🇪🇸Paula Badosa
#83 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
5wAliaksandra Sasnovich and Paula Badosa have met 3 times since 2022; Paula Badosa leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome in 2022 on clay. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Sasnovich has taken 2 sets to Badosa's 5. Their most recent meeting: Paula Badosa won at Miami Open - Miami (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sasnovich | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Paula Badosa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 40% | 4/10 | 78% | 18/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 25% | 4/16 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 10/26 | 33% | 13/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 25% | 3/12 | 55% | 17/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 36% | 5/14 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 13% | 1/8 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 56% | 5/9 | 83% | 19/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 44% | 4/9 | 78% | 18/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sasnovich 0, Badosa 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sasnovich
🎾 All-Court
Badosa
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎾 All-Court vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 958 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 19, 2026
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 2, 2026
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi
H Hard · 1st Round
May 11, 2022
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sasnovich | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Paula Badosa | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 3/3 | 94% | 16/17 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 71% | 12/17 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 35% | 6/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sasnovich | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 13–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 1.70 |
| ROI % | -47.4% | +18.2% |
| Units P/L | -3.79u | +3.09u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Sasnovich and Badosa posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Sasnovich | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Bianca Andreescu | L 36 67 | L 26 63 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Maria Timofeeva
Livesport Prague Open - Prague · 1st Round
Jul 21
Tereza Valentova
Athens Open - Athens · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Anna Blinkova
Athens Open - Athens · 1st Round
Jul 14
Bianca Andreescu
Wimbledon
Jun 25
Storm Hunter
Wimbledon
Jun 24
Katy Dunne
Wimbledon
Jun 23
Magdalena Frech
Berlin
Jun 13
Storm Hunter
Queen's Club
Jun 7
Mayar Sherif
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Panna Udvardy
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Katarzyna Kawa
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 1st Round
Jul 22
Tamara Zidansek
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · Semifinals
Jul 18
Panna Udvardy
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Alevtina Ibragimova
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Anhelina Kalinina
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 1st Round
Jul 14
Simona Waltert
Nordea Open - Bastad · Final
Jul 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 26–39 matches
| Metric | Sasnovich | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 38% | 59% |
| Sets won | 39% | 59% |
| Games won | 48% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sasnovich | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sasnovich | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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