Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Paula BadosaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇾Aliaksandra Sasnovich
#118 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 2–5
🇪🇸Paula Badosa
#58 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Aliaksandra Sasnovich and Paula Badosa have met 3 times since 2022; Paula Badosa leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome in 2022 on clay. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Sasnovich has taken 2 sets to Badosa's 5. Their most recent meeting: Paula Badosa won at Miami Open - Miami (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sasnovich | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Paula Badosa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 24/31 | 74% | 20/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 7/26 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 14/57 | 31% | 14/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 19/39 | 51% | 19/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 39% | 7/18 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 25% | 3/12 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 28/35 | 88% | 21/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 69% | 24/35 | 83% | 20/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sasnovich 0, Badosa 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sasnovich
👑 The Complete Package
Badosa
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 19, 2026
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 2, 2026
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi
H Hard · 1st Round
May 11, 2022
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sasnovich | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Paula Badosa | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 12/13 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 3 or more | 46% | 6/13 | 64% | 9/14 |
| 5 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 21% | 3/14 |
| 10 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sasnovich | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–7 | 10–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.08 | 1.72 |
| ROI % | -24.6% | -3.7% |
| Units P/L | -3.44u | -0.52u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sasnovich | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 9 | 6 |
| Distance | — | 10,936 mi · 17,599 km |
| Route | SGP → ROU | BRA → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Badosa has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Sasnovich's 44%).
| Opponent | Sasnovich | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Daria Kasatkina | W 75 60 | W 46 76 64 |
| Varvara Lepchenko | W 64 61 | W 75 76 |
| Emiliana Arango | L 63 46 46 | W 63 62 |
| Anhelina Kalinina | W 63 62 | W 63 61 |
| Marina Bassols Ribera | L 67 57 | W 63 62 |
| Bianca Andreescu | L 36 67 | L 26 63 36 |
| Daria Snigur | W 62 06 62 | L 16 67 |
| Julia Grabher | L 64 26 46 | L 67 64 06 |
| Kayla Day | L 26 57 | W 64 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elvina Kalieva
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Linda Fruhvirtova
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Xinxin Yao
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · 1st Round
Oct 5
Ekaterina Alexandrova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Talia Gibson
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Varvara Lepchenko
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Junhan Zhang
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Mirra Andreeva
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Daria Kasatkina
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Nadia Podoroska
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Semifinals
Sep 19
Mary Stoiana
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Jazmin Ortenzi
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Justina Mikulskyte
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Sep 16
Coco Gauff
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Daria Kasatkina
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–57 matches
| Metric | Sasnovich | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 60% |
| Sets won | 54% | 59% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sasnovich | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sasnovich | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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