Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Jelena OstapenkoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇾Aliaksandra Sasnovich
#136 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
6w5 meetings · sets 5–8
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#31 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Aliaksandra Sasnovich and Jelena Ostapenko have met 5 times since 2017; Jelena Ostapenko leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon in 2017 on grass. On hard courts Ostapenko leads 2–1. On grass courts Ostapenko leads 2–0. Across all meetings Sasnovich has taken 5 sets to Ostapenko's 8. Their most recent meeting: Jelena Ostapenko won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sasnovich | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 40% | 4/10 | 68% | 15/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 25% | 4/16 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 10/26 | 41% | 16/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 25% | 3/12 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 36% | 5/14 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 13% | 1/8 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 56% | 5/9 | 70% | 16/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 44% | 4/9 | 65% | 15/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sasnovich 1, Ostapenko 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sasnovich
🎾 All-Court
Ostapenko
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🎾 All-Court across 706 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jelena Ostapenko.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Mar 10, 2023
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 4, 2022
Ostrava Open - Ostrava
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 11, 2022
St. Petersburg Ladies Trophy - St. Petersburg
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jul 5, 2018
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 16
Jul 4, 2017
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 128
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sasnovich | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 3/3 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sasnovich | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 5–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | -47.4% | -7.7% |
| Units P/L | -3.79u | -0.54u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sasnovich | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ostapenko has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Sasnovich's 0%).
| Opponent | Sasnovich | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Magdalena Frech | L 76 46 67 | L 16 36 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | L 62 57 36 | W 63 60 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 36 67 | L 16 67 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 62 46 67 | W 64 75 |
| Jasmine Paolini | L 16 26 | W 57 62 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Maria Timofeeva
Livesport Prague Open - Prague · 1st Round
Jul 21
Tereza Valentova
Athens Open - Athens · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Anna Blinkova
Athens Open - Athens · 1st Round
Jul 14
Bianca Andreescu
Wimbledon
Jun 25
Storm Hunter
Wimbledon
Jun 24
Katy Dunne
Wimbledon
Jun 23
Magdalena Frech
Berlin
Jun 13
Storm Hunter
Queen's Club
Jun 7
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Antonia Ruzic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Harriet Dart
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Zeynep Sonmez
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Panna Udvardy
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Francesca Jones
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Magda Linette
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 26–39 matches
| Metric | Sasnovich | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 38% | 56% |
| Sets won | 39% | 56% |
| Games won | 48% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sasnovich | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sasnovich | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 2 |
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