Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Jelena OstapenkoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇾Aliaksandra Sasnovich
#118 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
5 meetings · sets 5–8
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#34 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Aliaksandra Sasnovich and Jelena Ostapenko have met 5 times since 2017; Jelena Ostapenko leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon in 2017 on grass. On hard courts Ostapenko leads 2–1. On grass courts Ostapenko leads 2–0. Across all meetings Sasnovich has taken 5 sets to Ostapenko's 8. Their most recent meeting: Jelena Ostapenko won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sasnovich | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 24/31 | 71% | 17/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 7/26 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 14/57 | 40% | 17/42 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 19/39 | 57% | 13/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 39% | 7/18 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 25% | 3/12 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 28/35 | 69% | 18/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 69% | 24/35 | 65% | 17/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sasnovich 1, Ostapenko 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sasnovich
👑 The Complete Package
Ostapenko
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Mar 10, 2023
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 4, 2022
Ostrava Open - Ostrava
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 11, 2022
St. Petersburg Ladies Trophy - St. Petersburg
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jul 5, 2018
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 16
Jul 4, 2017
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 128
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sasnovich | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 6/12 | 83% | 5/6 |
| 5 or more | 17% | 2/12 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 10 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sasnovich | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–6 | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.02 | 1.89 |
| ROI % | -18.8% | -34.0% |
| Units P/L | -2.44u | -2.04u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sasnovich | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 9 | 4 |
| Distance | — | 592 mi · 952 km |
| Route | SGP → ROU | POR → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ostapenko has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Sasnovich's 0%).
| Opponent | Sasnovich | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Paula Badosa | L 57 36 | W 76 75 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | L 16 46 | W 64 62 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 26 26 | L 75 26 46 |
| Magdalena Frech | L 76 46 67 | L 16 36 |
| Tereza Valentova | L 36 26 | L |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 36 67 | L 16 67 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 62 46 67 | W 64 75 |
| Jasmine Paolini | L 16 26 | W 57 62 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elvina Kalieva
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Linda Fruhvirtova
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Xinxin Yao
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · 1st Round
Oct 5
Ekaterina Alexandrova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Talia Gibson
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Varvara Lepchenko
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Junhan Zhang
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Mirra Andreeva
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Taylah Preston
Korea Open - Seoul · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Anastasia Zakharova
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Tatjana Maria
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–57 matches
| Metric | Sasnovich | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 57% |
| Sets won | 54% | 57% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sasnovich | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sasnovich | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 2 |
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