Alexei Popyrin vs Roman SafiullinPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexei Popyrin and Roman Safiullin have met 4 times since 2022; Roman Safiullin leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Open 13 Provence - Marseille in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Safiullin leads 3–0. Safiullin has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Popyrin has taken 5 sets to Safiullin's 6. Their most recent meeting: Roman Safiullin won at Miami Open - Miami (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Popyrin | Safiullin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexei Popyrin | Roman Safiullin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 5/11 | 60% | 15/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 6/21 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 12/32 | 42% | 15/36 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 15% | 2/13 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 8/19 | 67% | 8/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 3/9 | 64% | 9/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 62% | 8/13 | 91% | 20/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 38% | 5/13 | 68% | 15/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Popyrin 1, Safiullin 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Popyrin
🤖 Servebot
Safiullin
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Mar 22, 2025
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 3, 2024
Brisbane International - Brisbane
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 14, 2023
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 3rd Round
Feb 15, 2022
Open 13 Provence - Marseille
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Popyrin | Safiullin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexei Popyrin | Roman Safiullin | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 69% | 9/13 |
| 10 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 8% | 1/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 10–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.99 | 2.47 |
| ROI % | -33.8% | +13.7% |
| Units P/L | -2.70u | +2.19u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Distance | 145 mi · 233 km | 1,107 mi · 1,781 km |
| Route | CAN | MEX → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Safiullin has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Popyrin's 0%).
| Opponent | Popyrin | Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| Jan Choinski | L 61 26 26 | W 62 63 |
| Casper Ruud | L 46 36 | L 26 67 75 60 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Francesco Maestrelli
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Thiago Agustin Tirante
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Raphael Collignon
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Andres Burruchaga
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Andy Andrade
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Jiri Lehecka
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Jan Choinski
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Raphael Collignon
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 1st Round
Jun 16
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 25
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Stan Wawrinka
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Sebastian Ofner
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Novak Djokovic
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Joao Fonseca
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Botic van de Zandschulp
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Jerome Kym
Wimbledon · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 30
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–42 matches
| Metric | Popyrin | Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 31% | 69% |
| Sets won | 35% | 61% |
| Games won | 47% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Popyrin | Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Popyrin | Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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