Alexei Popyrin vs Roman SafiullinPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexei Popyrin and Roman Safiullin have met 4 times since 2022; Roman Safiullin leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Open 13 Provence - Marseille in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Safiullin leads 3–0. Safiullin has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Popyrin has taken 5 sets to Safiullin's 6. Their most recent meeting: Roman Safiullin won at Miami Open - Miami (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Popyrin | Safiullin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexei Popyrin | Roman Safiullin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 5/11 | 62% | 21/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 5/21 | 43% | 6/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 11/32 | 40% | 19/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 14% | 2/14 | 50% | 15/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 39% | 7/18 | 67% | 10/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 22% | 2/9 | 59% | 10/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 8/12 | 93% | 26/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 42% | 5/12 | 75% | 21/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Popyrin 1, Safiullin 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Popyrin
🤖 Servebot
Safiullin
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Mar 22, 2025
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 3, 2024
Brisbane International - Brisbane
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 14, 2023
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 3rd Round
Feb 15, 2022
Open 13 Provence - Marseille
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Popyrin | Safiullin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexei Popyrin | Roman Safiullin | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 5 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 80% | 12/15 |
| 10 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 15 or more | 29% | 2/7 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 20 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–4 | 9–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 1.90 |
| ROI % | -0.9% | -10.7% |
| Units P/L | -0.07u | -1.61u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 10 |
| Distance | — | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km |
| Route | — | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Safiullin has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Popyrin's 0%).
| Opponent | Popyrin | Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| Quentin Halys | L 75 36 46 | W 57 63 64 |
| Titouan Droguet | L 67 16 | W 62 46 64 |
| Jan Choinski | L 61 26 26 | W 62 63 |
| Casper Ruud | L 46 36 | L 26 67 75 60 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alejandro Tabilo
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Grigor Dimitrov
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Hugo Gaston
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Francesco Maestrelli
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Thiago Agustin Tirante
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Raphael Collignon
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Andres Burruchaga
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Francisco Cerundolo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Rinky Hijikata
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Shintaro Mochizuki
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Alexis Galarneau
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Andrey Rublev
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Flavio Cobolli
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Daniil Medvedev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Bu Yunchaokete
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–55 matches
| Metric | Popyrin | Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 32% | 69% |
| Sets won | 36% | 61% |
| Games won | 47% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Popyrin | Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Popyrin | Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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