Alexei Popyrin vs Hubert HurkaczPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexei Popyrin and Hubert Hurkacz have met 4 times since 2021; Hubert Hurkacz leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Hurkacz leads 3–1. Across all meetings Popyrin has taken 2 sets to Hurkacz's 7. Their most recent meeting: Alexei Popyrin won at National Bank Open - Montreal (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Popyrin | Hurkacz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexei Popyrin | Hubert Hurkacz | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 5/11 | 59% | 17/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 5/21 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 11/32 | 44% | 20/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 14% | 2/14 | 38% | 12/32 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 39% | 7/18 | 85% | 11/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 22% | 2/9 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 8/12 | 79% | 23/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 42% | 5/12 | 59% | 17/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Popyrin 0, Hurkacz 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Popyrin
🤖 Servebot
Hurkacz
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Alexei Popyrin and Hubert Hurkacz are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,464 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Aug 11, 2024
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 18, 2023
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Mar 11, 2023
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 9, 2021
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Popyrin | Hurkacz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexei Popyrin | Hubert Hurkacz | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 23/23 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 23/23 |
| 5 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 100% | 23/23 |
| 10 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 83% | 19/23 |
| 15 or more | 29% | 2/7 | 26% | 6/23 |
| 20 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 0% | 0/23 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–4 | 18–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 1.66 |
| ROI % | -0.9% | +21.1% |
| Units P/L | -0.07u | +4.85u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 12 |
| Distance | — | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km |
| Route | — | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Hurkacz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Popyrin's 40%).
| Opponent | Popyrin | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Damm | L 67 46 | W 46 63 64 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 62 67 67 26 | W 64 76 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | W 46 75 63 | W 46 76 63 |
| Casper Ruud | L 46 36 | W 64 62 76 |
| Frances Tiafoe | L 63 46 67 | L 76 67 46 76 46 |
| Zachary Svajda | L 63 36 67 57 | W 62 76 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 64 64 | W 76 76 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 63 26 64 | L 46 67 |
| Matteo Berrettini | W 62 63 | W 46 63 64 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 46 36 | L 76 67 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alejandro Tabilo
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Grigor Dimitrov
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Hugo Gaston
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Francesco Maestrelli
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Thiago Agustin Tirante
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Raphael Collignon
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Andres Burruchaga
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Yi Zhou
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Novak Djokovic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
James Duckworth
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Karen Khachanov
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Arthur Gea
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Learner Tien
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Final
Sep 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–55 matches
| Metric | Popyrin | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 32% | 64% |
| Sets won | 36% | 60% |
| Games won | 47% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Popyrin | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Popyrin | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
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