Alexei Popyrin vs Hubert HurkaczPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexei Popyrin and Hubert Hurkacz have met 4 times since 2021; Hubert Hurkacz leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Hurkacz leads 3–1. Across all meetings Popyrin has taken 2 sets to Hurkacz's 7. Their most recent meeting: Alexei Popyrin won at National Bank Open - Montreal (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Popyrin | Hurkacz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexei Popyrin | Hubert Hurkacz | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 5/11 | 63% | 12/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 6/21 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 12/32 | 44% | 15/34 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 15% | 2/13 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 8/19 | 80% | 8/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 3/9 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 62% | 8/13 | 73% | 16/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 38% | 5/13 | 55% | 12/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Popyrin 0, Hurkacz 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Popyrin
🤖 Servebot
Hurkacz
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Alexei Popyrin and Hubert Hurkacz are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,568 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Aug 11, 2024
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 18, 2023
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Mar 11, 2023
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 9, 2021
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Popyrin | Hurkacz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexei Popyrin | Hubert Hurkacz | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 10 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 47% | 7/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 7% | 1/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 11–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.99 | 1.52 |
| ROI % | -33.8% | +11.4% |
| Units P/L | -2.70u | +1.71u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 9 |
| Distance | 145 mi · 233 km | 1,959 mi · 3,153 km |
| Route | CAN | CAN → USA → MEX |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Hurkacz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (56% vs Popyrin's 44%).
| Opponent | Popyrin | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | W 46 75 63 | W 46 76 63 |
| Casper Ruud | L 46 36 | W 64 62 76 |
| Frances Tiafoe | L 63 46 67 | L 76 67 46 76 46 |
| Zachary Svajda | L 63 36 67 57 | W 62 76 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 64 64 | W 76 76 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 63 26 64 | L 46 67 |
| Matteo Berrettini | W 62 63 | W 46 63 64 |
| Martin Damm | L 67 46 | L 67 46 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 46 36 | L 76 67 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Francesco Maestrelli
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Thiago Agustin Tirante
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Raphael Collignon
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Andres Burruchaga
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Andy Andrade
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Jiri Lehecka
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Jan Choinski
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Raphael Collignon
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 1st Round
Jun 16
Sebastian Baez
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Moez Echargui
Cancun Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 23
Roman Safiullin
Cancun Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Henrique Rocha
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Tommy Paul
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Sho Shimabukuro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Alejandro Tabilo
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–42 matches
| Metric | Popyrin | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 31% | 57% |
| Sets won | 35% | 57% |
| Games won | 47% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Popyrin | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Popyrin | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
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