Alexei Popyrin vs Francesco MaestrelliPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexei Popyrin and Francesco Maestrelli have met 1 time since 2026; Alexei Popyrin leads 1–0. Across all meetings Popyrin has taken 2 sets to Maestrelli's 0. Their most recent meeting: Alexei Popyrin won at Quebec City Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Popyrin | Maestrelli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexei Popyrin | Francesco Maestrelli | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 5/11 | 52% | 12/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 6/21 | 34% | 10/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 12/32 | 40% | 21/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 15% | 2/13 | 37% | 10/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 8/19 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 3/9 | 50% | 13/26 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 62% | 8/13 | 83% | 20/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 38% | 5/13 | 50% | 12/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Popyrin 1, Maestrelli 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Popyrin
🤖 Servebot
Maestrelli
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Alexei Popyrin and Francesco Maestrelli are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,568 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 19, 2026
Quebec City Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Popyrin | Maestrelli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexei Popyrin | Francesco Maestrelli | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 10 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 33% | 2/6 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 33% | 2/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 1–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.99 | 2.14 |
| ROI % | -33.8% | -59.4% |
| Units P/L | -2.70u | -4.16u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 1 |
| Distance | 145 mi · 233 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Maestrelli has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Popyrin's 0%).
| Opponent | Popyrin | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 36 46 | W 76 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Francesco Maestrelli
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Thiago Agustin Tirante
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Raphael Collignon
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Andres Burruchaga
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Andy Andrade
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Jiri Lehecka
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Jan Choinski
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Raphael Collignon
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 1st Round
Jun 16
Alexei Popyrin
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Juan Pablo Varillas
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Lukas Neumayer
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Ognjen Milic
Brasov Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 30
Max Basing
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Alexis Galarneau
Dublin Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 15
Arthur Gea
Ilkley Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 9
Kimmer Coppejans
Chisinau Challenger · 1st Round
May 26
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–54 matches
| Metric | Popyrin | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 31% | 44% |
| Sets won | 35% | 44% |
| Games won | 47% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Popyrin | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Popyrin | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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