Alexei Popyrin vs Francesco MaestrelliPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexei Popyrin and Francesco Maestrelli have met 1 time since 2026; Alexei Popyrin leads 1–0. Across all meetings Popyrin has taken 2 sets to Maestrelli's 0. Their most recent meeting: Alexei Popyrin won at Quebec City Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Popyrin | Maestrelli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexei Popyrin | Francesco Maestrelli | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 5/11 | 56% | 14/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 5/21 | 35% | 11/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 11/32 | 39% | 22/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 14% | 2/14 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 39% | 7/18 | 48% | 14/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 22% | 2/9 | 52% | 16/31 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 8/12 | 76% | 19/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 42% | 5/12 | 56% | 14/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Popyrin 1, Maestrelli 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Popyrin
🤖 Servebot
Maestrelli
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Alexei Popyrin and Francesco Maestrelli are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,464 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 19, 2026
Quebec City Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Popyrin | Maestrelli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexei Popyrin | Francesco Maestrelli | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 83% | 10/12 |
| 5 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 67% | 8/12 |
| 10 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 42% | 5/12 |
| 15 or more | 29% | 2/7 | 17% | 2/12 |
| 20 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–4 | 5–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 2.35 |
| ROI % | -0.9% | -36.9% |
| Units P/L | -0.07u | -4.80u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 523 mi · 841 km |
| Route | — | FRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Maestrelli has a higher win rate against shared opponents (33% vs Popyrin's 0%).
| Opponent | Popyrin | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Hugo Gaston | L | L 67 16 |
| Titouan Droguet | L 67 16 | L 46 36 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 36 46 | W 76 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alejandro Tabilo
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Grigor Dimitrov
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Hugo Gaston
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Francesco Maestrelli
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Thiago Agustin Tirante
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Raphael Collignon
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Andres Burruchaga
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Oliver Tarvet
Villena Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Andrea Guerrieri
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 21
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Rennes Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Rennes Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Arthur Nagel
Rennes Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 16
Maks Kasnikowski
Istanbul Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Alafia Ayeni
Istanbul Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Juan Pablo Ficovich
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–58 matches
| Metric | Popyrin | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 32% | 45% |
| Sets won | 36% | 45% |
| Games won | 47% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Popyrin | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Popyrin | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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