Alexandre Muller vs Nuno BorgesPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ซ๐ทAlexandre Muller
#138 ยท 29 yrs ยท R
33 meetings ยท sets 3โ5

๐ต๐นNuno Borges
#41 ยท 29 yrs ยท R
Alexandre Muller and Nuno Borges have met 3 times since 2022; Nuno Borges leads 2โ1. Their first meeting came at Lyon Challenger in 2022 on clay. On hard courts Borges leads 2โ0. Borges has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Muller has taken 3 sets to Borges's 5. Their most recent meeting: Nuno Borges won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Muller | Borges | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexandre Muller | Nuno Borges | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 8/14 | 71% | 20/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 20% | 5/25 | 41% | 12/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 11/39 | 35% | 20/57 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 29% | 5/17 | 55% | 17/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 37% | 7/19 | 48% | 11/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 9/17 | 52% | 16/31 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 77% | 10/13 | 82% | 23/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 8/13 | 71% | 20/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Muller 1, Borges 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Muller
โ๏ธ Grinder
Borges
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
The ๐ค Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs โ๏ธ Grinder across 1,470 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Nuno Borges.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 13, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Mar 13, 2024
Phoenix Challenger
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Jun 8, 2022
Lyon Challenger
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Muller | Borges | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexandre Muller | Nuno Borges | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 100% | 22/22 |
| 3 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 82% | 18/22 |
| 5 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 73% | 16/22 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 23% | 5/22 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 14% | 3/22 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/22 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Muller | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2โ6 | 14โ8 |
| Avg odds | 3.80 | 2.33 |
| ROI % | -58.8% | -0.0% |
| Units P/L | -4.70u | -0.01u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Muller | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 8 |
| Distance | 5,829 mi ยท 9,381 km | 712 mi ยท 1,146 km |
| Route | SMR โ GER โ MEX | CAN โ USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Muller and Borges posted a 40% win rate.
| Opponent | Muller | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nakashima | W 62 75 | L 36 76 36 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 67 76 76 | W 64 62 |
| Mariano Navone | L 46 06 | L 36 46 |
| Jan-Lennard Struff | L 67 06 | W 64 75 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 75 67 67 | L 36 63 36 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 75 64 | W 36 62 61 62 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 57 36 | W 76 76 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | W 61 67 64 | L 36 76 67 |
| Yibing Wu | L 36 46 | L 16 67 |
| Hamad Medjedovic | L 26 26 | L 67 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Cancun Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 19
Guy Den Ouden
Hagen Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 3
Mili Poljicak
San Marino Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Marco Cecchinato
San Marino Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 29
Stefano Napolitano
San Marino Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 27
Mariano Navone
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท 1st Round
Jul 20
Aleksandr Shevchenko
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad ยท 1st Round
Jul 14
Tommy Paul
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 4th Round
Aug 20
Andrey Rublev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 18
Francisco Cerundolo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Thanasi Kokkinakis
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Luciano Darderi
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 4th Round
Aug 8
Yannick Hanfmann
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 3rd Round
Aug 6
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Aleksandar Kovacevic
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 42โ64 matches
| Metric | Muller | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 38% | 50% |
| Sets won | 37% | 51% |
| Games won | 45% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Muller | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Muller | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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