Alexandre Muller vs Mattia BellucciPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ซ๐ทAlexandre Muller
#138 ยท 29 yrs ยท R
31 meeting ยท sets 1โ2

๐ฎ๐นMattia Bellucci
#96 ยท 25 yrs ยท L
3Alexandre Muller and Mattia Bellucci have met 1 time since 2024; Mattia Bellucci leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Muller has taken 1 sets to Bellucci's 2. Their most recent meeting: Mattia Bellucci won at Tokyo (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Muller | Bellucci | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexandre Muller | Mattia Bellucci | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 8/14 | 68% | 19/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 20% | 5/25 | 30% | 8/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 11/39 | 31% | 17/55 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 29% | 5/17 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 37% | 7/19 | 59% | 19/32 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 9/17 | 52% | 12/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 77% | 10/13 | 83% | 25/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 8/13 | 63% | 19/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Muller 0, Bellucci 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Muller
โ๏ธ Grinder
Bellucci
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
The ๐ค Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs โ๏ธ Grinder across 1,470 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Mattia Bellucci.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 23, 2024
Tokyo
H Hard ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Muller | Bellucci | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexandre Muller | Mattia Bellucci | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 5 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 29% | 4/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Muller | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2โ6 | 7โ7 |
| Avg odds | 3.80 | 2.37 |
| ROI % | -58.8% | +11.2% |
| Units P/L | -4.70u | +1.57u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Muller | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 5 |
| Distance | 5,267 mi ยท 8,476 km | 1,024 mi ยท 1,648 km |
| Route | GER โ MEX | CAN โ USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Muller has a higher win rate against shared opponents (38% vs Bellucci's 25%).
| Opponent | Muller | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Mariano Navone | L 46 06 | L 57 46 |
| Edas Butvilas | L 46 16 | W 64 75 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 67 76 76 | W 57 62 63 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 57 36 | L 67 46 |
| Hamad Medjedovic | L 26 26 | L 36 26 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 75 64 | L 16 46 |
| Brandon Nakashima | W 62 75 | L 36 46 |
| Marcos Giron | L 26 26 | L 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Cancun Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 19
Guy Den Ouden
Hagen Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 3
Mili Poljicak
San Marino Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Marco Cecchinato
San Marino Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 29
Stefano Napolitano
San Marino Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 27
Mariano Navone
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท 1st Round
Jul 20
Aleksandr Shevchenko
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad ยท 1st Round
Jul 14
Tommy Paul
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Luciano Darderi
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 2nd Round
Aug 25
Martin Landaluce
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 1st Round
Aug 23
Jakub Mensik
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 15
Zachary Svajda
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Sebastian Baez
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Ugo Humbert
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท 1st Round
Jun 23
Raphael Collignon
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle ยท 2nd Round
Jun 18
Alexander Bublik
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle ยท 1st Round
Jun 16
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 42โ57 matches
| Metric | Muller | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 38% | 49% |
| Sets won | 37% | 48% |
| Games won | 45% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Muller | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Muller | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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