Alexandre Muller vs Mattia BellucciPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexandre Muller and Mattia Bellucci have met 3 times since 2024; Mattia Bellucci leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Tokyo in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Bellucci leads 3–0. Bellucci has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Muller has taken 1 sets to Bellucci's 6. Their most recent meeting: Mattia Bellucci won at Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Muller | Bellucci | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexandre Muller | Mattia Bellucci | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 13/20 | 71% | 25/35 |
| Wins a set when losing | 15% | 4/27 | 33% | 9/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 11/47 | 31% | 19/62 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 8/21 | 56% | 15/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 35% | 8/23 | 61% | 19/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 8/16 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 17/19 | 86% | 30/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 13/19 | 71% | 25/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Muller 0, Bellucci 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Muller
🎯 Baseliner
Bellucci
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,590 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 6, 2026
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 30, 2026
Jingshan Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 23, 2024
Tokyo
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Muller | Bellucci | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexandre Muller | Mattia Bellucci | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 17/18 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 72% | 13/18 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 9/18 | 94% | 16/17 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 29% | 5/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Muller | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–9 | 10–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.10 | 2.05 |
| ROI % | -16.4% | -10.8% |
| Units P/L | -2.96u | -1.84u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Muller | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 8 | 10 |
| Distance | 1,033 mi · 1,662 km | 927 mi · 1,492 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 8 shared opponents, both Muller and Bellucci posted a 38% win rate.
| Opponent | Muller | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 16 57 | W 62 67 61 |
| Mariano Navone | L 46 06 | L 57 46 |
| Edas Butvilas | L 46 16 | W 64 75 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 67 76 76 | W 57 62 63 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 57 36 | L 67 46 |
| Hamad Medjedovic | L 26 26 | L 36 26 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 75 64 | L 16 46 |
| Brandon Nakashima | W 62 75 | L 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mattia Bellucci
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Rio Noguchi
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Mattia Bellucci
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Federico Cina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 26
Moise Kouame
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Petr Bar Biryukov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Luka Pavlovic
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Yi Zhou
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Alexandre Muller
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Elias Ymer
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Lloyd Harris
Jingshan Challenger · Final
Oct 4
Yanki Erel
Jingshan Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 3
Adam Walton
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Alexandre Muller
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Keisuke Saitoh
Jingshan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–66 matches
| Metric | Muller | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 55% |
| Sets won | 41% | 53% |
| Games won | 47% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Muller | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Muller | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
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