Alexandre Muller vs Luca Van AsschePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexandre Muller and Luca Van Assche have met 5 times since 2021; Luca Van Assche leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Brest Challenger in 2021 on hard. On clay courts Assche leads 3–1. Assche has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Muller has taken 4 sets to Assche's 6. Their most recent meeting: Luca Van Assche won at Hamburg European Open - Hamburg (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Muller | Van Assche | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexandre Muller | Luca Van Assche | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 13/20 | 59% | 29/49 |
| Wins a set when losing | 14% | 4/28 | 37% | 10/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 11/48 | 39% | 30/76 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 8/21 | 50% | 25/50 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 33% | 8/24 | 63% | 12/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 8/16 | 41% | 9/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 17/19 | 95% | 39/41 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 13/19 | 71% | 29/41 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Muller 2, Van Assche 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Muller
🎯 Baseliner
Assche
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 979 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alexandre Muller.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jul 24, 2023
Hamburg European Open - Hamburg
C Clay · 1st Round
Mar 31, 2023
Sanremo Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Sep 30, 2022
Lisbon Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jun 18, 2022
Blois Challenger
C Clay · Semifinals
Oct 29, 2021
Brest Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Muller | Assche | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexandre Muller | Luca Van Assche | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 17/18 | 88% | 15/17 |
| 3 or more | 72% | 13/18 | 71% | 12/17 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 9/18 | 24% | 4/17 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Muller | Assche |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–9 | 11–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.10 | 2.27 |
| ROI % | -16.4% | +26.1% |
| Units P/L | -2.96u | +4.69u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Muller | Assche |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 8 | 2 |
| Distance | 1,033 mi · 1,662 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Assche has a higher win rate against shared opponents (78% vs Muller's 44%).
| Opponent | Muller | Assche |
|---|---|---|
| Moise Kouame | W 64 60 | W 61 61 |
| Rei Sakamoto | L 36 36 | W 46 64 76 |
| Marco Cecchinato | W 46 62 75 | W 36 60 61 |
| Aleksandr Shevchenko | L 63 36 46 | W 64 64 |
| Brandon Nakashima | W 62 75 | L 76 46 75 16 36 |
| Edas Butvilas | L 46 16 | W 63 75 |
| Rafael Jodar | L | L 36 60 16 |
| Vit Kopriva | W 63 76 | W 63 62 |
| Alex Molcan | L 46 46 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mattia Bellucci
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Rio Noguchi
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Mattia Bellucci
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Federico Cina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 26
Moise Kouame
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Petr Bar Biryukov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Luka Pavlovic
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Bu Yunchaokete
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Arthur Fils
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Sep 30
Denis Shapovalov
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Cameron Norrie
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Quebec City Challenger · Final
Aug 23
Hugo Gaston
Quebec City Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 22
Benjamin Bonzi
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–80 matches
| Metric | Muller | Assche |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 43% | 64% |
| Sets won | 40% | 59% |
| Games won | 46% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Muller | Assche |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Muller | Assche |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 3 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.