Alexandre Muller vs Juan Manuel CerundoloPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇫🇷Alexandre Muller
#138 · 29 yrs · R
33 meetings · sets 2–4
🇦🇷Juan Manuel Cerundolo
#51 · 24 yrs · L
3Alexandre Muller and Juan Manuel Cerundolo have met 3 times since 2021; Juan Manuel Cerundolo leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Rome 2 Challenger in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Cerundolo leads 2–1. Across all meetings Muller has taken 2 sets to Cerundolo's 4. Their most recent meeting: Alexandre Muller won at San Marino Challenger (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Muller | Manuel Cerundolo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexandre Muller | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 8/14 | 61% | 22/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 20% | 5/25 | 38% | 8/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 11/39 | 39% | 22/57 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 29% | 5/17 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 37% | 7/19 | 80% | 12/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 9/17 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 77% | 10/13 | 88% | 29/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 8/13 | 67% | 22/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Muller 1, Manuel Cerundolo 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Muller
⚙️ Grinder
Cerundolo
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,211 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Juan Manuel Cerundolo.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 2, 2024
San Marino Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
May 23, 2022
Vicenza Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Apr 28, 2021
Rome 2 Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Muller | Cerundolo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexandre Muller | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 94% | 15/16 |
| 3 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 81% | 13/16 |
| 5 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 63% | 10/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 31% | 5/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 6% | 1/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Muller | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–6 | 9–5 |
| Avg odds | 3.80 | 2.79 |
| ROI % | -58.8% | +57.4% |
| Units P/L | -4.70u | +8.04u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Muller | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 6 |
| Distance | 5,829 mi · 9,381 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | SMR → GER → MEX | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Muller has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Cerundolo's 50%).
| Opponent | Muller | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Hamad Medjedovic | L 26 26 | W 64 62 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 75 64 | W 36 63 75 |
| Matteo Berrettini | L 46 26 | L 36 67 67 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 57 36 | W 76 67 63 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | W 61 67 64 | L 26 36 |
| Federico Cina | W 62 63 | W 67 64 63 |
| Brandon Nakashima | W 62 75 | L 36 57 |
| Vit Kopriva | W 63 76 | L 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Guy Den Ouden
Hagen Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 3
Mili Poljicak
San Marino Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Marco Cecchinato
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Stefano Napolitano
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 27
Mariano Navone
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round
Jul 20
Aleksandr Shevchenko
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Tommy Paul
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Ignacio Buse
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Dhakshineswar Suresh
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Arthur Rinderknech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Mark Lajal
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Casper Ruud
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Hamad Medjedovic
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Marco Trungelliti
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round
Jul 21
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–63 matches
| Metric | Muller | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 38% | 62% |
| Sets won | 37% | 57% |
| Games won | 45% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Muller | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Muller | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 2 |
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