Alexandra Eala vs Leylah FernandezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ต๐ญAlexandra Eala
#18 ยท 21 yrs ยท Left-Handed
Title42 meetings ยท sets 2โ2

๐จ๐ฆLeylah Fernandez
#32 ยท 23 yrs ยท Left-Handed
Alexandra Eala and Leylah Fernandez have met 2 times since 2026; they are level 1โ1. Their first meeting came at Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart in 2026 on clay. Across all meetings Eala has taken 2 sets to Fernandez's 2. Their most recent meeting: Alexandra Eala won at Mubadala DC Open - Washington (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Eala | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexandra Eala | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 32/48 | 68% | 17/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 37% | 10/27 | 31% | 8/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 26/75 | 31% | 16/51 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 21/42 | 48% | 16/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 14/29 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 8/13 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 39/48 | 75% | 21/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 32/48 | 61% | 17/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Eala 1, Fernandez 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Eala
๐น Frontrunner
Fernandez
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
๐น Frontrunner vs ๐ฅ Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,181 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 29, 2026
Mubadala DC Open - Washington
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Apr 14, 2026
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Eala | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexandra Eala | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| 1 or more | 72% | 18/25 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 3 or more | 32% | 8/25 | 55% | 6/11 |
| 5 or more | 4% | 1/25 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Eala | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 19โ6 | 4โ6 |
| Avg odds | 2.01 | 2.10 |
| ROI % | +51.4% | -8.7% |
| Units P/L | +12.85u | -0.87u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Eala | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 4 |
| Distance | 761 mi ยท 1,225 km | 411 mi ยท 662 km |
| Route | AUT โ CAN โ POL | CAN โ POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Eala has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Fernandez's 30%).
| Opponent | Eala | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Naomi Osaka | W 64 62 | L 46 46 |
| Alycia Parks | W 61 46 62 | L 46 46 |
| Renata Zarazua | W 61 62 | W 62 62 |
| Jessica Pegula | W 46 64 60 | L 26 26 |
| Magda Linette | W 63 76 | W 61 64 |
| Janice Tjen | L 46 16 | L 16 67 |
| Xi Yao Wang | W 64 63 | L 36 46 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 75 64 | L 76 46 67 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | W 64 63 | L 46 67 |
| Iva Jovic | L 26 26 | W 36 63 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Amanda Anisimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 18
Belinda Bencic
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 4th Round
Aug 10
Caty Mcnally
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 3rd Round
Aug 8
Alycia Parks
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jessica Pegula
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท Final
Aug 3
Naomi Osaka
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท Semifinals
Aug 1
Elina Svitolina
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 1
Leylah Fernandez
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท 2nd Round
Jul 29
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 17
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 4th Round
Aug 10
Mirra Andreeva
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 3rd Round
Aug 7
Renata Zarazua
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 6
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท 2nd Round
Jul 29
Magda Linette
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท 1st Round
Jul 27
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Xi Yao Wang
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg ยท 2nd Round
Jun 23
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 51โ75 matches
| Metric | Eala | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 49% |
| Sets won | 60% | 49% |
| Games won | 54% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Eala | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Eala | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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