Alexandra Eala vs Jelena OstapenkoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇵🇭Alexandra Eala
#19 · 21 yrs · Left-Handed
3w2 meetings · sets 2–2
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#34 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Alexandra Eala and Jelena Ostapenko have met 2 times since 2025; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Miami Open - Miami in 2025 on hard. Across all meetings Eala has taken 2 sets to Ostapenko's 2. Their most recent meeting: Jelena Ostapenko won at Upper Austria Ladies Linz - Linz (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Eala | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexandra Eala | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 26/38 | 71% | 17/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 10/26 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 22/64 | 40% | 17/42 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 16/32 | 57% | 13/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 15/30 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 5/7 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 31/39 | 69% | 18/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 26/39 | 65% | 17/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Eala 1, Ostapenko 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Eala
🏹 Frontrunner
Ostapenko
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,247 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Apr 8, 2026
Upper Austria Ladies Linz - Linz
C Clay · 2nd Round
Mar 21, 2025
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Eala | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexandra Eala | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| 1 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 83% | 5/6 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Eala | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–4 | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.77 | 1.89 |
| ROI % | +21.3% | -34.0% |
| Units P/L | +2.77u | -2.04u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Eala | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 592 mi · 952 km |
| Route | SGP | POR → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Eala has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Ostapenko's 40%).
| Opponent | Eala | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Elise Mertens | L 36 36 | L 26 63 36 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W | W 26 62 63 |
| Magdalena Frech | W 60 36 64 | L 16 36 |
| Shuai Zhang | W 63 62 | L |
| Jessica Pegula | W 46 64 60 | L 64 36 26 |
| Qinwen Zheng | W 46 64 61 | W 46 64 64 |
| Jasmine Paolini | L 46 64 36 | W 57 62 75 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | W 64 63 | W 63 60 |
| Magda Linette | W 63 76 | L 26 62 26 |
| Sorana Cirstea | W 75 64 | L 16 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tatiana Prozorova
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Iva Jovic
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Oleksandra Oliynykova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Mary Stoiana
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Amanda Anisimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Elena Gabriela Ruse
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Belinda Bencic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Caty Mcnally
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Taylah Preston
Korea Open - Seoul · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Anastasia Zakharova
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Tatjana Maria
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–64 matches
| Metric | Eala | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 57% |
| Sets won | 57% | 57% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Eala | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Eala | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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