Alexandra Eala vs Jelena OstapenkoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇵🇭Alexandra Eala
#18 · 21 yrs · Left-Handed
Title42 meetings · sets 2–2
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#31 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Alexandra Eala and Jelena Ostapenko have met 2 times since 2025; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Miami Open - Miami in 2025 on hard. Across all meetings Eala has taken 2 sets to Ostapenko's 2. Their most recent meeting: Jelena Ostapenko won at Upper Austria Ladies Linz - Linz (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Eala | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexandra Eala | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 32/48 | 68% | 15/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 37% | 10/27 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 26/75 | 41% | 16/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 21/42 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 14/29 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 8/13 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 39/48 | 70% | 16/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 32/48 | 65% | 15/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Eala 1, Ostapenko 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Eala
🏹 Frontrunner
Ostapenko
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 821 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Apr 8, 2026
Upper Austria Ladies Linz - Linz
C Clay · 2nd Round
Mar 21, 2025
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Eala | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexandra Eala | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| 1 or more | 72% | 18/25 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 32% | 8/25 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 5 or more | 4% | 1/25 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Eala | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 19–6 | 5–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.01 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | +51.4% | -7.7% |
| Units P/L | +12.85u | -0.54u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Eala | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 7 | 1 |
| Distance | 761 mi · 1,225 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | AUT → CAN → POL | POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Eala has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Ostapenko's 40%).
| Opponent | Eala | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Magdalena Frech | W 60 36 64 | L 16 36 |
| Jessica Pegula | W 46 64 60 | L 64 36 26 |
| Qinwen Zheng | W 46 64 61 | W 46 64 64 |
| Jasmine Paolini | L 46 64 36 | W 57 62 75 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | W 64 63 | W 63 60 |
| Panna Udvardy | W 16 75 63 | W 36 61 62 |
| Priscilla Hon | W 60 62 | L 36 26 |
| Magda Linette | W 63 76 | L 26 62 26 |
| Sorana Cirstea | W 75 64 | L 16 67 |
| Xi Yao Wang | W 64 63 | L 64 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Amanda Anisimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Belinda Bencic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Caty Mcnally
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Alycia Parks
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jessica Pegula
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Final
Aug 3
Naomi Osaka
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Semifinals
Aug 1
Elina Svitolina
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Aug 1
Leylah Fernandez
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Antonia Ruzic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Harriet Dart
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Zeynep Sonmez
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Panna Udvardy
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Francesca Jones
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Magda Linette
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–75 matches
| Metric | Eala | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 56% |
| Sets won | 60% | 56% |
| Games won | 54% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Eala | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Eala | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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