Alexandra Eala vs Iga SwiatekPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ต๐ญAlexandra Eala
#18 ยท 21 yrs ยท Left-Handed
Title43 meetings ยท sets 5โ2

๐ต๐ฑIga Swiatek
#8 ยท 25 yrs ยท Right-Handed
Alexandra Eala and Iga Swiatek have met 3 times since 2025; Alexandra Eala leads 2โ1. Their first meeting came at Miami Open - Miami in 2025 on hard. Across all meetings Eala has taken 5 sets to Swiatek's 2. Their most recent meeting: Alexandra Eala won at Wimbledon - London (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Eala | Swiatek | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexandra Eala | Iga Swiatek | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 32/48 | 80% | 35/44 |
| Wins a set when losing | 37% | 10/27 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 26/75 | 33% | 20/61 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 21/42 | 58% | 34/59 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 14/29 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 8/13 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 39/48 | 87% | 39/45 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 32/48 | 78% | 35/45 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Eala 2, Swiatek 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Eala
๐น Frontrunner
Swiatek
๐ The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
๐น Frontrunner vs ๐ The Complete Package is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 821 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 4, 2026
Wimbledon - London
G Grass ยท 3rd Round
Apr 24, 2025
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Mar 26, 2025
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard ยท Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Eala | Swiatek | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexandra Eala | Iga Swiatek | ||
| 1 or more | 72% | 18/25 | 64% | 9/14 |
| 3 or more | 32% | 8/25 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 5 or more | 4% | 1/25 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Eala | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 19โ6 | 10โ3 |
| Avg odds | 2.01 | 1.24 |
| ROI % | +51.4% | -6.7% |
| Units P/L | +12.85u | -0.87u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Eala | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 9 |
| Distance | 761 mi ยท 1,225 km | 411 mi ยท 662 km |
| Route | AUT โ CAN โ POL | CAN โ POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Eala has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Swiatek's 50%).
| Opponent | Eala | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula | W 46 64 60 | L 57 64 46 |
| Amanda Anisimova | L 64 46 26 | L 76 46 26 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 63 64 | W 63 16 63 |
| Belinda Bencic | L 46 06 | L 63 06 36 |
| Caty Mcnally | W 63 57 64 | W 61 67 63 |
| Viktorija Golubic | L 62 26 67 | W 62 61 |
| Naomi Osaka | W 64 62 | W 62 61 |
| Jasmine Paolini | L 46 64 36 | L 16 26 |
| Maya Joint | W 36 62 60 | W 61 61 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 75 64 | L 57 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Amanda Anisimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 18
Belinda Bencic
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 4th Round
Aug 10
Caty Mcnally
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 3rd Round
Aug 8
Alycia Parks
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jessica Pegula
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท Final
Aug 3
Naomi Osaka
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท Semifinals
Aug 1
Elina Svitolina
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 1
Leylah Fernandez
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท 2nd Round
Jul 29
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท Semifinals
Aug 22
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 4th Round
Aug 19
Maria Sakkari
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 17
Emiliana Arango
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท Semifinals
Aug 13
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 4th Round
Aug 8
Viktorija Golubic
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 3rd Round
Aug 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 61โ75 matches
| Metric | Eala | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 72% |
| Sets won | 60% | 70% |
| Games won | 54% | 60% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Eala | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Eala | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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