Alexander Bublik vs Roman SafiullinPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Bublik and Roman Safiullin have met 2 times since 2024; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai in 2024 on hard. Across all meetings Bublik has taken 2 sets to Safiullin's 2. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Bublik won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bublik | Safiullin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Bublik | Roman Safiullin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 19/28 | 62% | 21/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 43% | 6/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 14/47 | 40% | 19/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 17/38 | 50% | 15/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 4/9 | 67% | 10/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 14/28 | 59% | 10/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 22/25 | 93% | 26/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 19/25 | 75% | 21/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bublik 1, Safiullin 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bublik
🤖 Servebot
Safiullin
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
May 8, 2025
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 1st Round
Oct 7, 2024
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bublik | Safiullin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Bublik | Roman Safiullin | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 5 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 80% | 12/15 |
| 10 or more | 58% | 7/12 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 15 or more | 42% | 5/12 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 20 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bublik | Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | 9–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 1.90 |
| ROI % | -9.9% | -10.7% |
| Units P/L | -1.19u | -1.61u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bublik | Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 10 |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km |
| Route | GBR → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bublik has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs Safiullin's 43%).
| Opponent | Bublik | Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 64 62 | L 67 36 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 76 67 36 | W 75 63 |
| Quentin Halys | L 46 67 | W 57 63 64 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 36 06 | L 46 46 46 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 67 76 75 | L 46 36 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 63 63 | W 60 46 63 36 76 |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | W 76 76 | L 57 76 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Brandon Nakashima
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Tomas Machac
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Jakub Mensik
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Rafael Jodar
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Tommy Paul
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Adrian Mannarino
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
J.J. Wolf
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Final
Jul 25
Francisco Cerundolo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Rinky Hijikata
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Shintaro Mochizuki
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Alexis Galarneau
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Andrey Rublev
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Flavio Cobolli
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Daniil Medvedev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Bu Yunchaokete
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–59 matches
| Metric | Bublik | Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 69% |
| Sets won | 58% | 61% |
| Games won | 52% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bublik | Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bublik | Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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