Alexander Bublik vs Hubert HurkaczPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฐ๐ฟAlexander Bublik
#22 ยท 29 yrs ยท R
8 meetings ยท sets 5โ14

๐ต๐ฑHubert Hurkacz
#34 ยท 29 yrs ยท R
3Alexander Bublik and Hubert Hurkacz have met 8 times since 2020; Hubert Hurkacz leads 6โ2. Their first meeting came at Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Hurkacz leads 5โ2. Across all meetings Bublik has taken 5 sets to Hurkacz's 14. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Bublik won at ABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bublik | Hurkacz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Bublik | Hubert Hurkacz | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 19/28 | 59% | 17/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 14/47 | 44% | 20/45 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 17/38 | 38% | 12/32 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 4/9 | 85% | 11/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 14/28 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 22/25 | 79% | 23/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 19/25 | 59% | 17/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bublik 1, Hurkacz 4).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bublik
๐ค Servebot
Hurkacz
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Alexander Bublik and Hubert Hurkacz are ๐ค Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,464 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
8 career meetings, newest first
Feb 11, 2026
ABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Aug 7, 2023
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Feb 25, 2023
Open 13 Provence - Marseille
H Hard ยท Semifinals
Jan 1, 2023
United Cup - Australia
H Hard ยท Round Robin
Oct 6, 2022
Astana Open - Astana
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Feb 22, 2022
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Jul 3, 2021
Wimbledon - London
G Grass ยท 3rd Round
Feb 25, 2020
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bublik | Hurkacz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Bublik | Hubert Hurkacz | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 23/23 |
| 3 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 100% | 23/23 |
| 5 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 100% | 23/23 |
| 10 or more | 58% | 7/12 | 83% | 19/23 |
| 15 or more | 42% | 5/12 | 26% | 6/23 |
| 20 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 0% | 0/23 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Bublik | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7โ5 | 18โ5 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 1.66 |
| ROI % | -9.9% | +21.1% |
| Units P/L | -1.19u | +4.85u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bublik | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 12 |
| Distance | 5,722 mi ยท 9,208 km | 1,611 mi ยท 2,592 km |
| Route | GBR โ CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Bublik and Hurkacz posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Bublik | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Alex de Minaur | L 46 16 16 | L |
| Jakub Mensik | L 46 67 | L 46 67 |
| Learner Tien | L 16 64 67 | W 57 63 64 |
| Tommy Paul | L 46 63 76 16 36 | L 46 76 36 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 61 62 | W 46 60 63 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 63 63 | L 63 67 57 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 64 64 | W 64 76 |
| Marcos Giron | W 36 64 62 | W 75 46 62 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 67 46 46 | W 76 76 |
| Jan-Lennard Struff | W 76 36 62 | L 63 76 67 57 24 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Brandon Nakashima
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 3rd Round
Oct 11
Tomas Machac
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 9
Jakub Mensik
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round
Oct 1
Rafael Jodar
Laver Cup - London ยท Round Robin
Sep 25
Tommy Paul
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round
Sep 4
Adrian Mannarino
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 3
J.J. Wolf
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 31
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท Final
Jul 25
Yi Zhou
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 3rd Round
Oct 11
Novak Djokovic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 9
James Duckworth
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 1st Round
Oct 8
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing ยท Semifinals
Oct 5
Karen Khachanov
China Open - Beijing ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Arthur Gea
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 2
Learner Tien
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round
Oct 1
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท Final
Sep 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 55โ59 matches
| Metric | Bublik | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 64% |
| Sets won | 58% | 60% |
| Games won | 52% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bublik | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 2 | 2 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bublik | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 5 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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