Alexander Bublik vs Facundo Diaz AcostaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇰🇿Alexander Bublik
#16 · 29 yrs · R
5w1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇦🇷Facundo Diaz Acosta
#82 · 25 yrs · L
4wTitleAlexander Bublik and Facundo Diaz Acosta have met 1 time since 2026; Alexander Bublik leads 1–0. Across all meetings Bublik has taken 2 sets to Acosta's 0. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Bublik won at Generali Open - Kitzbuhel (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bublik | Diaz Acosta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Bublik | Facundo Diaz Acosta | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 20/29 | 61% | 35/57 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 6/19 | 41% | 9/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 15/48 | 39% | 31/79 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 18/42 | 44% | 27/61 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 3/6 | 29% | 2/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 14/27 | 61% | 17/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 85% | 40/47 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 20/27 | 74% | 35/47 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bublik 1, Diaz Acosta 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bublik
🤖 Servebot
Acosta
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 58% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 927 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alexander Bublik.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 22, 2026
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bublik | Acosta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Bublik | Facundo Diaz Acosta | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 91% | 20/22 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 50% | 11/22 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 9% | 2/22 |
| 10 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 0% | 0/22 |
| 15 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 0% | 0/22 |
| 20 or more | 23% | 3/13 | 0% | 0/22 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bublik | Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 18–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.61 | 1.44 |
| ROI % | -6.8% | -1.1% |
| Units P/L | -0.88u | -0.25u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bublik | Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | SMR |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bublik has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Acosta's 0%).
| Opponent | Bublik | Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| Learner Tien | L 16 64 67 | L 57 64 63 67 36 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 64 64 | L 67 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Final
Jul 25
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Semifinals
Jul 24
Alex Molcan
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Quarterfinals
Jul 23
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Quentin Halys
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 17
Taylor Fritz
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Frances Tiafoe
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Kyrian Jacquet
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Mili Poljicak
San Marino Challenger · Final
Aug 2
Vilius Gaubas
San Marino Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 1
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
San Marino Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Francesco Forti
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Tommaso Compagnucci
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexander Bublik
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Federico Cina
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round
Jul 20
Lautaro Midon
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–81 matches
| Metric | Bublik | Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 72% |
| Sets won | 57% | 65% |
| Games won | 51% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bublik | Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bublik | Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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