Alexander Bublik vs Diego DeduraPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฐ๐ฟAlexander Bublik
#16 ยท 29 yrs ยท R
5w1 meeting ยท sets 2โ0

๐ฉ๐ชDiego Dedura
#190 ยท 18 yrs ยท L
Alexander Bublik and Diego Dedura have met 1 time since 2025; Alexander Bublik leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Bublik has taken 2 sets to Dedura's 0. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Bublik won at Munich (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bublik | Dedura | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Bublik | Diego Dedura | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 20/29 | 80% | 36/45 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 6/19 | 31% | 8/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 15/48 | 24% | 17/71 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 18/42 | 63% | 24/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 3/6 | 44% | 11/25 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 14/27 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 91% | 41/45 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 20/27 | 80% | 36/45 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bublik 1, Dedura 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bublik
๐ค Servebot
Dedura
โ๏ธ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The ๐ค Servebot archetype wins about 58% vs โ๏ธ The Gladiator across 927 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alexander Bublik.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Apr 13, 2025
Munich
C Clay ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bublik | Dedura | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Bublik | Diego Dedura | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 55% | 12/22 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 14% | 3/22 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 5% | 1/22 |
| 10 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 0% | 0/22 |
| 15 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 0% | 0/22 |
| 20 or more | 23% | 3/13 | 0% | 0/22 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Bublik | Dedura |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8โ5 | 11โ8 |
| Avg odds | 1.61 | 1.89 |
| ROI % | -6.8% | -3.8% |
| Units P/L | -0.88u | -0.73u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bublik | Dedura |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 1 |
| Events | โ | 2 |
| Matches | โ | 3 |
| Distance | โ | 185 mi ยท 297 km |
| Route | โ | GER |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Bublik has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Dedura's 50%).
| Opponent | Bublik | Dedura |
|---|---|---|
| Dalibor Svrcina | W 61 61 | W 63 76 |
| Frances Tiafoe | W 46 76 76 46 63 | L 46 46 |
| Vit Kopriva | W 36 76 62 | L 26 46 |
| Hugo Nys | W 60 63 | W 62 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท Final
Jul 25
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท Semifinals
Jul 24
Alex Molcan
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 23
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท 2nd Round
Jul 22
Quentin Halys
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad ยท 2nd Round
Jul 17
Taylor Fritz
Wimbledon - London ยท 4th Round
Jul 6
Frances Tiafoe
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 4
Kyrian Jacquet
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 2
Max Hans Rehberg
Hamburg Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 11
Zsombor Piros
Hagen Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Dominik Recek
Hagen Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Otto Virtanen
Tampere Challenger ยท Final
Jul 26
Gauthier Onclin
Tampere Challenger ยท Semifinals
Jul 25
Igor Ribeiro Marcondes
Tampere Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Guido Ivan Justo
Tampere Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 23
Nicolas Kicker
Tampere Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 21
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 58โ71 matches
| Metric | Bublik | Dedura |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 63% |
| Sets won | 57% | 62% |
| Games won | 51% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bublik | Dedura |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bublik | Dedura |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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