Alex Molcan vs Casper RuudPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Molcan and Casper Ruud have met 3 times since 2018; Casper Ruud leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Seville in 2018 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Ruud has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Molcan has taken 3 sets to Ruud's 4. Their most recent meeting: Casper Ruud won at National Bank Open - Montreal (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Molcan | Ruud | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Molcan | Casper Ruud | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 24/33 | 77% | 23/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 5/15 | 23% | 3/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 14/48 | 23% | 10/43 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 15/26 | 58% | 21/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 62% | 13/21 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 8/16 | 53% | 10/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 27/31 | 89% | 24/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 24/31 | 85% | 23/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Molcan 1, Ruud 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Molcan
🪃 Counterpuncher
Ruud
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 2,363 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 10, 2022
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · 2nd Round
Apr 28, 2022
BMW Open - Munich
C Clay · 2nd Round
Sep 5, 2018
Seville
C Clay · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Molcan | Ruud | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Molcan | Casper Ruud | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 80% | 4/5 |
| 5 or more | 19% | 3/16 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Molcan | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–5 | 2–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.98 | 1.75 |
| ROI % | +4.2% | -48.8% |
| Units P/L | +0.59u | -2.44u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Molcan | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 8 shared opponents, both Molcan and Ruud posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Molcan | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Altmaier | W 63 36 75 | L 36 57 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 36 61 62 | W 63 61 |
| Jiri Lehecka | L 36 26 46 | W 63 64 |
| Fabian Marozsan | L 62 67 67 | L 46 46 |
| Mariano Navone | L 63 26 36 | L 57 26 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 62 75 | W 63 75 |
| Ben Shelton | L 36 46 | L 63 46 36 46 |
| Denis Shapovalov | W 64 64 | W 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Bublik
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Quarterfinals
Jul 23
Daniel Altmaier
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Sebastian Ofner
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round
Jul 21
Damir Dzumhur
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Semifinals
Jul 17
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Valentin Royer
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round
Jul 14
Francesco Forti
Bundesliga - men
Jul 10
Jiri Lehecka
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Jaime Faria
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Joao Fonseca
French Open - Paris · 4th Round
May 31
Tommy Paul
French Open - Paris · 3rd Round
May 29
Hamad Medjedovic
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–52 matches
| Metric | Molcan | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 69% |
| Sets won | 63% | 64% |
| Games won | 54% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Molcan | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Molcan | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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