Alex Molcan vs Casper RuudPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Molcan and Casper Ruud have met 3 times since 2018; Casper Ruud leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Seville in 2018 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Ruud has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Molcan has taken 3 sets to Ruud's 4. Their most recent meeting: Casper Ruud won at National Bank Open - Montreal (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Molcan | Ruud | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Molcan | Casper Ruud | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 23/35 | 77% | 24/31 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 6/19 | 15% | 2/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 18/54 | 20% | 9/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 14/27 | 56% | 20/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 15/25 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 6/14 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 29/34 | 93% | 25/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 23/34 | 89% | 24/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Molcan 1, Ruud 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Molcan
🪃 Counterpuncher
Ruud
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Casper Ruud.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 10, 2022
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · 2nd Round
Apr 28, 2022
BMW Open - Munich
C Clay · 2nd Round
Sep 5, 2018
Seville
C Clay · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Molcan | Ruud | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Molcan | Casper Ruud | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 9/12 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 4/12 | 43% | 3/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 29% | 2/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Molcan | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 7–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.11 | 1.56 |
| ROI % | +7.8% | +6.5% |
| Units P/L | +1.02u | +0.65u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Molcan | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 5 | 4 |
| Distance | 663 mi · 1,067 km | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km |
| Route | CHN | GBR → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ruud has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Molcan's 30%).
| Opponent | Molcan | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Karen Khachanov | L 57 36 | W 61 16 62 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | L 62 36 46 | W 67 76 76 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 63 36 75 | L 36 57 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 36 61 62 | W 63 61 |
| Jiri Lehecka | L 36 26 46 | W 63 64 |
| Fabian Marozsan | L 62 67 67 | L 46 46 |
| Mariano Navone | L 63 26 36 | L 57 26 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 62 75 | W 63 75 |
| Alexander Blockx | L 16 16 | L 46 46 |
| Ben Shelton | L 36 46 | L 63 46 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Federico Cina
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Karen Khachanov
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Tomas Machac
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Marco Trungelliti
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Vit Kopriva
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SVK-GRE 3-2 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SVK-GRE 3-2 · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
Tulln Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Learner Tien
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 12
Bu Yunchaokete
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Luciano Darderi
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Francisco Cerundolo
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Fnu Nidunjianzan
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NOR-CHN 4-0 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Rigele Te
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NOR-CHN 4-0 · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Christopher O'Connell
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 53–58 matches
| Metric | Molcan | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 70% |
| Sets won | 58% | 64% |
| Games won | 53% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Molcan | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Molcan | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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