Alex Molcan vs Alexander BublikPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΈπ°Alex Molcan
#84 Β· 28 yrs Β· L
6w2 meetings Β· sets 2β2

π°πΏAlexander Bublik
#16 Β· 29 yrs Β· R
5wAlex Molcan and Alexander Bublik have met 2 times since 2026; they are level 1β1. Their first meeting came at BMW Open - Munich in 2026 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1β1. Across all meetings Molcan has taken 2 sets to Bublik's 2. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Bublik won at Generali Open - Kitzbuhel (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Molcan | Bublik | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Molcan | Alexander Bublik | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 24/33 | 69% | 20/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 5/15 | 32% | 6/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 14/48 | 31% | 15/48 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 15/26 | 43% | 18/42 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 62% | 13/21 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 8/16 | 52% | 14/27 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 27/31 | 85% | 23/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 24/31 | 74% | 20/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Molcan 1, Bublik 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Molcan
πͺ Counterpuncher
Bublik
π€ Servebot
Matchup analysis
The π€ Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs πͺ Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alexander Bublik.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 23, 2026
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel
C Clay Β· Quarterfinals
Apr 14, 2026
BMW Open - Munich
C Clay Β· 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Molcan | Bublik | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Molcan | Alexander Bublik | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 5 or more | 19% | 3/16 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 62% | 8/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 23% | 3/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Molcan | Bublik |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9β5 | 8β5 |
| Avg odds | 1.98 | 1.61 |
| ROI % | +4.2% | -6.8% |
| Units P/L | +0.59u | -0.88u |
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Bublik has a higher win rate against shared opponents (71% vs Molcan's 43%).
| Opponent | Molcan | Bublik |
|---|---|---|
| Valentin Royer | W 64 75 | W 76 76 |
| Jiri Lehecka | L 36 26 46 | W 62 75 |
| Sebastian Baez | L 46 26 | W 61 62 |
| Vitaliy Sachko | W 36 61 64 | L 57 63 57 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | L 57 67 | W 57 64 62 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | L 26 46 | L 36 67 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 62 75 | W 64 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Bublik
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 23
Daniel Altmaier
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel Β· 2nd Round
Jul 22
Sebastian Ofner
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel Β· 1st Round
Jul 21
Damir Dzumhur
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag Β· Semifinals
Jul 17
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Valentin Royer
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag Β· 1st Round
Jul 14
Francesco Forti
Bundesliga - men
Jul 10
Jiri Lehecka
Wimbledon - London Β· 2nd Round
Jul 2
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel Β· Final
Jul 25
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel Β· Semifinals
Jul 24
Alex Molcan
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 23
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel Β· 2nd Round
Jul 22
Quentin Halys
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad Β· 2nd Round
Jul 17
Taylor Fritz
Wimbledon - London Β· 4th Round
Jul 6
Frances Tiafoe
Wimbledon - London Β· 3rd Round
Jul 4
Kyrian Jacquet
Wimbledon - London Β· 2nd Round
Jul 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 51β58 matches
| Metric | Molcan | Bublik |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 60% |
| Sets won | 63% | 57% |
| Games won | 54% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Molcan | Bublik |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Molcan | Bublik |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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