Alex Molcan vs Alexander BublikPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Molcan and Alexander Bublik have met 2 times since 2026; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at BMW Open - Munich in 2026 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Molcan has taken 2 sets to Bublik's 2. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Bublik won at Generali Open - Kitzbuhel (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Molcan | Bublik | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Molcan | Alexander Bublik | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 22/34 | 68% | 19/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 6/19 | 26% | 5/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 18/53 | 30% | 14/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 13/26 | 45% | 17/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 15/25 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 6/14 | 50% | 14/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 28/33 | 88% | 22/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 22/33 | 76% | 19/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Molcan 1, Bublik 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Molcan
🪃 Counterpuncher
Bublik
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alexander Bublik.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 23, 2026
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Apr 14, 2026
BMW Open - Munich
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Molcan | Bublik | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Molcan | Alexander Bublik | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 5 or more | 40% | 4/10 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 55% | 6/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 46% | 5/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 9% | 1/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Molcan | Bublik |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–4 | 7–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.16 | 1.78 |
| ROI % | +7.4% | -1.7% |
| Units P/L | +0.81u | -0.19u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Molcan | Bublik |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 5 | 4 |
| Distance | 663 mi · 1,067 km | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km |
| Route | CHN | GBR → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bublik has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Molcan's 44%).
| Opponent | Molcan | Bublik |
|---|---|---|
| Tomas Machac | W 63 62 | W 64 76 |
| Vit Kopriva | W 76 26 76 | W 36 76 62 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | L 62 36 46 | L 26 57 |
| Jiri Lehecka | L 36 26 46 | W 62 75 |
| Sebastian Baez | L 46 26 | W 61 62 |
| Vitaliy Sachko | W 36 61 64 | L 57 63 57 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | L 57 67 | W 57 64 62 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | L 26 46 | L 36 67 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 62 75 | W 64 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Federico Cina
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Karen Khachanov
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Tomas Machac
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Marco Trungelliti
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Vit Kopriva
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SVK-GRE 3-2 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SVK-GRE 3-2 · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
Tulln Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Brandon Nakashima
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Tomas Machac
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Jakub Mensik
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Rafael Jodar
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Tommy Paul
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Adrian Mannarino
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
J.J. Wolf
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Final
Jul 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 57–59 matches
| Metric | Molcan | Bublik |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 61% |
| Sets won | 57% | 58% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Molcan | Bublik |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Molcan | Bublik |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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