Alex Michelsen vs Tennys SandgrenPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Michelsen and Tennys Sandgren have met 3 times since 2022; Alex Michelsen leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Fairfield in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Michelsen leads 2–1. Michelsen has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Michelsen has taken 4 sets to Sandgren's 4. Their most recent meeting: Alex Michelsen won at Dallas Open - Dallas (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Michelsen | Sandgren | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Michelsen | Tennys Sandgren | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 22/32 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 17/53 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 16/33 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 9/19 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 12/22 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 28/28 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 22/28 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Michelsen 0, Sandgren 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Michelsen
💥 Big Hitter
Sandgren
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Feb 6, 2024
Dallas Open - Dallas
H Hard · 1st Round
Nov 11, 2023
Knoxville Challenger
H Hard · Semifinals
Oct 10, 2022
Fairfield
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Michelsen | Sandgren |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–6 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.81 | - |
| ROI % | -1.6% | - |
| Units P/L | -0.31u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Michelsen | Sandgren |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km | — |
| Route | JPN → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Botic van de Zandschulp
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Carlos Alcaraz
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Frances Tiafoe
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Daniel Merida Aguilar
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Brandon Nakashima
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Federico Cina
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Tristan Boyer
Savannah Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 24
Thai-Son Kwiatkowski
Savannah Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 22
Stefan Kozlov
Tallahassee Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 17
Martin Damm
Tallahassee Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 16
Zizou Bergs
Sarasota Challenger · Semifinals
Apr 13
Stefan Kozlov
Sarasota Challenger · Quarterfinals
Apr 12
Dmitry Popko
Sarasota Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 10
Thai-Son Kwiatkowski
Sarasota Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 63–63 matches
| Metric | Michelsen | Sandgren |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | - |
| Sets won | 60% | - |
| Games won | 53% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Michelsen | Sandgren |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Michelsen | Sandgren |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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