Alex Michelsen vs Jiri LeheckaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈAlex Michelsen
#34 Β· 22 yrs Β· R
2 meetings Β· sets 3β3

π¨πΏJiri Lehecka
#21 Β· 24 yrs Β· R
Alex Michelsen and Jiri Lehecka have met 2 times since 2024; they are level 1β1. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2024 on hard. Across all meetings Michelsen has taken 3 sets to Lehecka's 3. Their most recent meeting: Jiri Lehecka won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2026).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
- Level
- ATP Masters 1000
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- November 2 Β· 4:00 AM ET
Book odds
Record at prices like this
At 2.55 or longer, Alex Michelsen has won 9 of 33 (27%). The price implied 30%, so Alex Michelsen has fallen 3 points short of it.
At 1.42 or shorter, Jiri Lehecka has won 85 of 121 (70%). That is level with the 71% the price implied.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Alex Michelsen and Jiri Lehecka meet next at the Rolex Paris Masters - Paris on November 2 on hard.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Michelsen | Lehecka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Michelsen | Jiri Lehecka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 22/32 | 68% | 23/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 7/20 | 41% | 7/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 17/52 | 35% | 18/51 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 16/31 | 49% | 18/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 10/20 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 12/24 | 52% | 13/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 96% | 27/28 | 83% | 29/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 22/28 | 66% | 23/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Michelsen 0, Lehecka 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Michelsen
π₯ Big Hitter
Lehecka
π€ Servebot
Matchup analysis
π₯ Big Hitter vs π€ Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,700 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Apr 26, 2026
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay Β· 3rd Round
Jan 18, 2024
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Michelsen | Lehecka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Michelsen | Jiri Lehecka | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 16/17 | 100% | 20/20 |
| 3 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 95% | 19/20 |
| 5 or more | 41% | 7/17 | 80% | 16/20 |
| 10 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 40% | 8/20 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 5% | 1/20 |
| 20 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 0% | 0/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Michelsen | Lehecka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10β7 | 16β6 |
| Avg odds | 1.93 | 1.63 |
| ROI % | -12.9% | +4.6% |
| Units P/L | -2.19u | +1.01u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Michelsen | Lehecka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 5 | 5 |
| Events | 5 | 5 |
| Matches | 7 | 12 |
| Distance | 7,218 mi Β· 11,617 km | 7,218 mi Β· 11,617 km |
| Route | JPN β CHN β BEL β SUI β FRA | JPN β CHN β BEL β SUI β FRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Lehecka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Michelsen's 40%).
| Opponent | Michelsen | Lehecka |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Fils | L 64 36 67 | L 16 76 36 |
| Stan Wawrinka | W 76 76 | W 75 76 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 67 76 64 36 36 | L 64 67 46 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 67 64 16 | L 67 46 |
| Valentin Vacherot | W 76 64 | W 64 62 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 75 67 76 | W 57 64 64 |
| Learner Tien | L 46 63 16 | W 63 75 |
| Frances Tiafoe | L 75 63 57 36 67 | W 64 76 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 36 46 | W 64 67 62 |
| Jan-Lennard Struff | W 61 36 61 | W 76 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel Β· 2nd Round
Oct 29
Botic van de Zandschulp
Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel Β· 1st Round
Oct 27
Arthur Fils
European Open - Brussels Β· Quarterfinals
Oct 23
David Goffin
European Open - Brussels Β· 2nd Round
Oct 22
Andrea Guerrieri
European Open - Brussels Β· 1st Round
Oct 19
Botic van de Zandschulp
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 2nd Round
Oct 10
Carlos Alcaraz
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· 1st Round
Oct 1
Frances Tiafoe
U.S. Open - New York Β· Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Jerome Kym
Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel Β· Quarterfinals
Oct 30
Daniel Altmaier
Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel Β· 2nd Round
Oct 29
Stan Wawrinka
Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel Β· 1st Round
Oct 27
Tallon Griekspoor
European Open - Brussels Β· Quarterfinals
Oct 23
Raphael Collignon
European Open - Brussels Β· 2nd Round
Oct 22
Rafael Jodar
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 3rd Round
Oct 12
Nuno Borges
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 2nd Round
Oct 10
Carlos Alcaraz
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· Final
Oct 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 60β62 matches
| Metric | Michelsen | Lehecka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 65% |
| Sets won | 61% | 61% |
| Games won | 53% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Michelsen | Lehecka |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Michelsen | Lehecka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |