Alex Michelsen vs Jesper de JongPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Michelsen and Jesper de Jong have met 1 time since 2026; Alex Michelsen leads 1–0. Across all meetings Michelsen has taken 2 sets to Jong's 0. Their most recent meeting: Alex Michelsen won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Michelsen | de Jong | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Michelsen | Jesper de Jong | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 22/32 | 44% | 11/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 7/22 | 30% | 8/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 17/54 | 42% | 22/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 16/34 | 27% | 9/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 9/19 | 35% | 6/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 59% | 13/22 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 28/28 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 22/28 | 55% | 11/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Michelsen 1, de Jong 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Michelsen
💥 Big Hitter
Jong
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Alex Michelsen and Jesper de Jong are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,644 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 14, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Michelsen | Jong | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Michelsen | Jesper de Jong | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 78% | 14/18 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 10/18 | 63% | 10/16 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 3/18 | 25% | 4/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 19% | 3/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Michelsen | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–5 | 9–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.46 | 2.10 |
| ROI % | -11.2% | -9.7% |
| Units P/L | -1.91u | -1.55u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Michelsen | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 5 | 5 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 1,731 mi · 2,785 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | USA → CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 9 shared opponents, both Michelsen and Jong posted a 44% win rate.
| Opponent | Michelsen | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Walton | L 67 46 | L 26 46 |
| Adrian Mannarino | W 64 76 | W 63 36 61 |
| Dhakshineswar Suresh | W 62 67 62 | L 46 57 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 75 63 | L 46 26 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 67 76 64 36 36 | L 62 57 46 |
| Karen Khachanov | L 64 46 36 75 36 | W 75 57 62 67 62 |
| Stan Wawrinka | W 76 76 | W 63 36 63 64 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 26 46 | L 57 26 67 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 16 76 810 | W 46 76 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Jesper de Jong
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Francisco Cerundolo
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Taylor Fritz
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Adrian Mannarino
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Mackenzie McDonald
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Adam Walton
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Hugo Gaston
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Dane Sweeny
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Alex Michelsen
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Timofey Skatov
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 21
Sebastian Baez
Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Vilius Gaubas
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 13
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 59–59 matches
| Metric | Michelsen | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 49% |
| Sets won | 56% | 46% |
| Games won | 51% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Michelsen | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Michelsen | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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