Alex Michelsen vs Jesper de JongPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Michelsen and Jesper de Jong have met 1 time since 2026; Alex Michelsen leads 1–0. Across all meetings Michelsen has taken 2 sets to Jong's 0. Their most recent meeting: Alex Michelsen won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Michelsen | de Jong | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Michelsen | Jesper de Jong | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 22/32 | 50% | 12/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 17/53 | 43% | 21/49 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 16/33 | 29% | 10/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 9/19 | 31% | 4/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 12/22 | 70% | 14/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 28/28 | 76% | 16/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 22/28 | 57% | 12/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Michelsen 1, de Jong 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Michelsen
💥 Big Hitter
Jong
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alex Michelsen.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 14, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Michelsen | Jong | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Michelsen | Jesper de Jong | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 19/20 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 85% | 17/20 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 5 or more | 65% | 13/20 | 67% | 8/12 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 4/20 | 17% | 2/12 |
| 15 or more | 5% | 1/20 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 20 or more | 5% | 1/20 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Michelsen | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–6 | 5–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.81 | 1.97 |
| ROI % | -1.6% | -35.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.31u | -4.25u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Michelsen | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km | 793 mi · 1,276 km |
| Route | JPN → CHN | FRA → POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Michelsen has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Jong's 40%).
| Opponent | Michelsen | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 76 64 64 | L 26 36 |
| Zizou Bergs | L 36 62 26 | L 57 61 26 67 |
| Federico Cina | W 64 61 60 | W 63 61 63 |
| Adam Walton | L 67 46 | L 26 46 |
| Adrian Mannarino | W 64 76 | W 63 36 61 |
| Dhakshineswar Suresh | W 62 67 62 | L 46 57 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 75 63 | L 46 26 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 67 76 64 36 36 | L 62 57 46 |
| Karen Khachanov | L 64 46 36 75 36 | W 75 57 62 67 62 |
| Stan Wawrinka | W 76 76 | W 63 36 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Botic van de Zandschulp
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Carlos Alcaraz
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Frances Tiafoe
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Daniel Merida Aguilar
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Brandon Nakashima
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Federico Cina
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
David Jorda Sanchis
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Harold Mayot
St. Tropez Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Andrea Guerrieri
St. Tropez Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Remy Bertola
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Samuel Heredia
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NED-COL 4-0 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Zizou Bergs
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Francesco Passaro
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Adam Walton
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–63 matches
| Metric | Michelsen | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 50% |
| Sets won | 60% | 47% |
| Games won | 53% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Michelsen | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Michelsen | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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