Alex Michelsen vs James McCabePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Michelsen and James McCabe have met 2 times since 2024; Alex Michelsen leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Michelsen leads 2–0. Michelsen has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Michelsen has taken 6 sets to McCabe's 1. Their most recent meeting: Alex Michelsen won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Michelsen | McCabe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Michelsen | James McCabe | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 22/32 | 69% | 24/35 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 7/22 | 33% | 10/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 17/54 | 32% | 21/65 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 16/34 | 46% | 19/41 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 9/19 | 58% | 14/24 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 59% | 13/22 | 47% | 16/34 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 28/28 | 82% | 27/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 22/28 | 73% | 24/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Michelsen
💥 Big Hitter
McCabe
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jan 16, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 16, 2024
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Michelsen | McCabe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Michelsen | James McCabe | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 78% | 14/18 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 10/18 | 58% | 7/12 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 3/18 | 17% | 2/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Michelsen | McCabe |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–5 | 4–9 |
| Avg odds | 1.46 | 1.90 |
| ROI % | -11.2% | -48.1% |
| Units P/L | -1.91u | -6.25u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Michelsen | McCabe |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 2 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Michelsen has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs McCabe's 33%).
| Opponent | Michelsen | McCabe |
|---|---|---|
| Mark Lajal | W 63 64 | W 76 76 |
| Adam Walton | L 67 46 | L 36 67 |
| Jason Jung | W 61 63 | L 46 36 |
| Hayato Matsuoka | W 61 64 | L 57 46 |
| Zizou Bergs | L 36 62 26 | W 67 62 76 |
| Shintaro Mochizuki | W 63 36 62 | L 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Jesper de Jong
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Francisco Cerundolo
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Taylor Fritz
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Adrian Mannarino
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Mackenzie McDonald
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Noah Zamora
M25 East Lansing · 1st Round
Aug 12
Dusan Lajovic
Lexington Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Duncan Chan
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 22
Bernard Tomic
Lincoln Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Masamichi Imamura
Lincoln Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 15
Jason Jung
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Roman Safiullin
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Remy Bertola
Lexus Nottingham Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 59–65 matches
| Metric | Michelsen | McCabe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 54% |
| Sets won | 56% | 53% |
| Games won | 51% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Michelsen | McCabe |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Michelsen | McCabe |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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