Alex Michelsen vs James McCabePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Michelsen and James McCabe have met 2 times since 2024; Alex Michelsen leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Michelsen leads 2–0. Michelsen has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Michelsen has taken 6 sets to McCabe's 1. Their most recent meeting: Alex Michelsen won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Michelsen | McCabe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Michelsen | James McCabe | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 22/32 | 67% | 24/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 31% | 10/32 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 17/53 | 32% | 22/68 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 16/33 | 45% | 20/44 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 9/19 | 54% | 13/24 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 12/22 | 46% | 17/37 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 28/28 | 82% | 27/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 22/28 | 73% | 24/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Michelsen
💥 Big Hitter
McCabe
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jan 16, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 16, 2024
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Michelsen | McCabe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Michelsen | James McCabe | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 19/20 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 85% | 17/20 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 5 or more | 65% | 13/20 | 71% | 5/7 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 4/20 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 15 or more | 5% | 1/20 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 5% | 1/20 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Michelsen | McCabe |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–6 | 0–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.81 | 2.02 |
| ROI % | -1.6% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.31u | -8.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Michelsen | McCabe |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 2 | 1 |
| Distance | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | JPN → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Michelsen has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs McCabe's 33%).
| Opponent | Michelsen | McCabe |
|---|---|---|
| Hayato Matsuoka | W 61 64 | L 36 46 |
| Federico Cina | W 64 61 60 | L 26 36 |
| Mark Lajal | W 63 64 | W 76 76 |
| Adam Walton | L 67 46 | L 36 67 |
| Jason Jung | W 61 63 | L 46 36 |
| Zizou Bergs | L 36 62 26 | W 67 62 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Botic van de Zandschulp
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Carlos Alcaraz
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Frances Tiafoe
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Daniel Merida Aguilar
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Brandon Nakashima
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Federico Cina
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Hayato Matsuoka
Jinan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 12
Siddhant Banthia
Jinan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Federico Cina
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Lukas Neumayer
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Noah Zamora
M25 East Lansing · 1st Round
Aug 12
Dusan Lajovic
Lexington Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex Bolt
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 25
Duncan Chan
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 63–68 matches
| Metric | Michelsen | McCabe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 53% |
| Sets won | 60% | 52% |
| Games won | 53% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Michelsen | McCabe |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Michelsen | McCabe |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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