Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Alex MichelsenPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈAleksandar Kovacevic
#81 Β· 28 yrs Β· R
33 meetings Β· sets 1β6

πΊπΈAlex Michelsen
#35 Β· 22 yrs Β· R
3Aleksandar Kovacevic and Alex Michelsen have met 3 times since 2023; Alex Michelsen leads 3β0. Their first meeting came at Chicago Challenger in 2023 on hard. Michelsen has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Kovacevic has taken 1 sets to Michelsen's 6. Their most recent meeting: Alex Michelsen won at Infosys Hall of Fame Open - Newport (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kovacevic | Michelsen | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aleksandar Kovacevic | Alex Michelsen | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 13/25 | 69% | 22/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 17/34 | 33% | 7/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 29/59 | 32% | 17/53 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 8/16 | 48% | 16/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 66% | 27/41 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 23/44 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 69% | 18/26 | 100% | 28/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 13/26 | 79% | 22/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kovacevic 0, Michelsen 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kovacevic
π€ Servebot
Michelsen
π₯ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
π€ Servebot vs π₯ Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 18, 2024
Infosys Hall of Fame Open - Newport
G Grass Β· Quarterfinals
May 21, 2024
Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva
C Clay Β· 1st Round
Jul 13, 2023
Chicago Challenger
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kovacevic | Michelsen | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aleksandar Kovacevic | Alex Michelsen | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 95% | 19/20 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 85% | 17/20 |
| 5 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 65% | 13/20 |
| 10 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 20% | 4/20 |
| 15 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 5% | 1/20 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 5% | 1/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Kovacevic | Michelsen |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5β8 | 13β6 |
| Avg odds | 2.45 | 1.81 |
| ROI % | -8.5% | -1.6% |
| Units P/L | -1.11u | -0.31u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kovacevic | Michelsen |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 2 |
| Distance | 3,172 mi Β· 5,105 km | 1,092 mi Β· 1,758 km |
| Route | CHN β JPN β CHN | JPN β CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Michelsen has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Kovacevic's 30%).
| Opponent | Kovacevic | Michelsen |
|---|---|---|
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 36 76 46 06 | L 46 46 |
| Lloyd Harris | L 36 46 | W 63 63 |
| Frances Tiafoe | L 46 63 67 | L 75 63 57 36 67 |
| Daniel Merida | W 63 57 62 | W 76 64 63 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 26 57 | W 63 64 64 |
| Valentin Vacherot | L 26 36 57 | W 76 64 |
| Karen Khachanov | W 57 63 76 | L 64 46 36 75 36 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 46 76 26 | W 63 64 |
| Cameron Norrie | L 46 16 | W 75 67 64 |
| Mackenzie McDonald | W 26 61 62 | W 64 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Matteo Berrettini
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 1st Round
Oct 7
Jaume Munar
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Zachary Svajda
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Lloyd Harris
Chengdu Open - Chengdu Β· 1st Round
Sep 24
Valentin Vacherot
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Aug 31
Arthur Fery
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem Β· 3rd Round
Aug 27
Luca Van Assche
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem Β· 2nd Round
Aug 25
Botic van de Zandschulp
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 2nd Round
Oct 10
Carlos Alcaraz
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· 1st Round
Oct 1
Frances Tiafoe
U.S. Open - New York Β· Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
U.S. Open - New York Β· 4th Round
Sep 6
Daniel Merida Aguilar
U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round
Sep 5
Brandon Nakashima
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Sep 2
Federico Cina
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Aug 31
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 63β63 matches
| Metric | Kovacevic | Michelsen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 40% | 60% |
| Sets won | 43% | 60% |
| Games won | 48% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kovacevic | Michelsen |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kovacevic | Michelsen |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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