Alejandro Tabilo vs Roberto Carballes BaenaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐จ๐ฑAlejandro Tabilo
#28 ยท 29 yrs ยท L
31 meeting ยท sets 1โ3

๐ช๐ธRoberto Carballes Baena
#209 ยท 33 yrs ยท R
5wAlejandro Tabilo and Roberto Carballes Baena have met 1 time since 2025; Roberto Carballes Baena leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Tabilo has taken 1 sets to Baena's 3. Their most recent meeting: Roberto Carballes Baena won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tabilo | Carballes Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Tabilo | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 53% | 26/49 | 58% | 15/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 11/27 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 34/76 | 43% | 20/47 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 22/46 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 17/27 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 15/32 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 37/45 | 85% | 22/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 58% | 26/45 | 58% | 15/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tabilo
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Baena
๐ช Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
๐ฅ Big Hitter vs ๐ช Counterpuncher is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 2,363 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jan 13, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tabilo | Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Tabilo | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 3 or more | 92% | 12/13 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 5 or more | 69% | 9/13 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 10 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Tabilo | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5โ8 | 8โ6 |
| Avg odds | 2.25 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | -16.2% | -20.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.11u | -2.84u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tabilo | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | โ |
| Events | 3 | โ |
| Matches | 4 | โ |
| Distance | 1,200 mi ยท 1,932 km | โ |
| Route | USA โ CAN โ USA | โ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Across 5 shared opponents, both Tabilo and Baena posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Tabilo | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Tiago Torres | L 46 46 | W 61 63 |
| Lautaro Midon | W 64 67 64 | W 64 76 |
| Lorenzo Carboni | W 46 63 76 | W 36 61 64 |
| Sebastian Baez | L 67 16 | L 46 26 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | W 62 61 | L 46 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rafael Jodar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 18
Jan-Lennard Struff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 15
Hubert Hurkacz
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington ยท Semifinals
Aug 2
Ben Shelton
Citi Open - Washington ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Terence Atmane
Citi Open - Washington ยท 2nd Round
Jul 31
Tallon Griekspoor
Citi Open - Washington ยท 1st Round
Jul 27
Tiago Torres
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril ยท 2nd Round
Jul 22
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 21
Mackenzie McDonald
Wimbledon ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Mark Ceban
Wimbledon ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Sebastian Ofner
Parma Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 18
Stefano Travaglia
Parma Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jun 17
Miguel Damas
Parma Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jun 16
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 47โ81 matches
| Metric | Tabilo | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 55% |
| Sets won | 57% | 54% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tabilo | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tabilo | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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